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Growing uncertainty from renewable energy integration and distributed energy resources motivate the need for advanced tools to quantify the effect of uncertainty and assess the risks it poses to secure system operation. Polynomial chaos…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-16 David Métivier , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra

In this letter, we compare three polynomial chaos expansion (PCE)-based methods for ANCOVA (ANalysis of COVAriance) indices based global sensitivity analysis for correlated random inputs in two power system applications. Surprisingly, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-17 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , François Bouffard

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is an increasingly popular technique for uncertainty propagation and quantification in systems and control. Based on the theory of Hilbert spaces and orthogonal polynomials, PCE allows for a unifying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Frederik Zahn , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used in the framework of uncertainty quantification. However, when dealing with high dimensional complex problems, challenging issues need to be faced. For instance, high-order polynomials may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

We present a regression technique for data-driven problems based on polynomial chaos expansion (PCE). PCE is a popular technique in the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ), where it is typically used to replace a runnable but expensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Over the last few years there have been dramatic advances in our understanding of mathematical and computational models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty. This has led to a growth in the area of uncertainty quantification as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-05 Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

We introduce PoCET: a free and open-scource Polynomial Chaos Expansion Toolbox for Matlab, featuring the automatic generation of polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) for linear and nonlinear dynamic systems with time-invariant stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-13 Felix Petzke , Ali Mesbah , Stefan Streif

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising multivariate Hermite orthogonal polynomials in dependent Gaussian random variables. The second-moment properties of Hermite polynomials reveal a weakly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Sharif Rahman

Frequency response functions (FRFs) are important for assessing the behavior of stochastic linear dynamic systems. For large systems, their evaluations are time-consuming even for a single simulation. In such cases, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-23 V. Yaghoubi , S. Marelli , B. Sudret , T. Abrahamsson

Polynomial Chaos Expansions represent a powerful tool to simulate stochastic models of dynamical systems. Yet, deriving the expansion's coefficients for complex systems might require a significant and non-trivial manipulation of the model,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-13 Lorenzo Fagiano , Mustafa Khammash

In this paper we present a basis selection method that can be used with $\ell_1$-minimization to adaptively determine the large coefficients of polynomial chaos expansions (PCE). The adaptive construction produces anisotropic basis sets…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-06-22 John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred , Khachik Sargsyan

Optimal Bayesian design techniques provide an estimate for the best parameters of an experiment in order to maximize the value of measurements prior to the actual collection of data. In other words, these techniques explore the space of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has received much attention in the literature in the past decade. In this context, Sparse Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have been shown to be among the most promising methods because of their ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 N. Fajraoui , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

We consider the numerical approximation of different ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and partial differential equations (PDEs) with periodic boundary conditions involving a one-dimensional random parameter, comparing the intrusive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Julian Clausnitzer , Andreas Kleefeld

We apply the Tensor Train (TT) approximation to construct the Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) of a random field, and solve the stochastic elliptic diffusion PDE with the stochastic Galerkin discretization. We compare two strategies of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-06-12 Sergey Dolgov , Boris N. Khoromskij , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

The growing need for uncertainty analysis of complex computational models has led to an expanding use of meta-models across engineering and sciences. The efficiency of meta-modeling techniques relies on their ability to provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Katerina Konakli , Bruno Sudret

As non-institutive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) techniques have gained growing popularity among researchers, we here provide a comprehensive review of major sampling strategies for the least squares based PCE. Traditional sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-14 Mohammad Hadigol , Alireza Doostan

We propose a Dynamical generalized Polynomial Chaos (DgPC) method to solve time-dependent stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with white noise forcing. The long-time simulation of SPDE solutions by Polynomial Chaos (PC)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-16 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal