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The surrogate model-based uncertainty quantification method has drawn much attention in many engineering fields. Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and deep learning (DL) are powerful methods for building a surrogate model. However, PCE needs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Wen Yao , Xiaohu Zheng , Jun Zhang , Ning Wang , Guijian Tang

Over the last few years there have been dramatic advances in our understanding of mathematical and computational models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty. This has led to a growth in the area of uncertainty quantification as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

Software engineers often have to estimate the performance of a software system before having full knowledge of the system parameters, such as workload and operational profile. These uncertain parameters inevitably affect the accuracy of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Aldeida Aleti , Catia Trubiani , André van Hoorn , Pooyan Jamshidi

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai

A spline chaos expansion, referred to as SCE, is introduced for uncertainty quantification analysis. The expansion provides a means for representing an output random variable of interest with respect to multivariate orthonormal basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Sharif Rahman

The large-scale integration of renewable energy sources introduces significant operational uncertainty into power systems. Although Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) provides an efficient tool for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Le Fang , Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

Computer simulation has become the standard tool in many engineering fields for designing and optimizing systems, as well as for assessing their reliability. To cope with demanding analysis such as optimization and reliability, surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-16 R. Schoebi , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías

We present an approach to the simulation of quantum systems driven by classical stochastic processes that is based on the polynomial chaos expansion, a well-known technique in the field of uncertainty quantification. The polynomial chaos…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-12-17 Kevin C. Young , Matthew D. Grace

This paper deals with the applications of stochastic spectral methods for structural topology optimization in the presence of uncertainties. A non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion is integrated into a topology optimization algorithm to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Nilton Cuellar , Anderson Pereira , Ivan F. M. Menezes , Americo Cunha

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

In an ever-increasing interest for Machine Learning (ML) and a favorable data development context, we here propose an original methodology for data-based prediction of two-dimensional physical fields. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE),…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-03 Rem-Sophia Mouradi , Cédric Goeury , Olivier Thual , Fabrice Zaoui , Pablo Tassi

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

This article is devoted to providing a review of mathematical formulations in which Polynomial Chaos Theory (PCT) has been incorporated into stochastic model predictive control (SMPC). In the past decade, PCT has been shown to provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-18 Prabhat K. Mishra , Joel A. Paulson , Richard D. Braatz

Model predictive control is an advanced control approach for multivariable systems with constraints, which is reliant on an accurate dynamic model. Most real dynamic models are however affected by uncertainties, which can lead to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-10 E. Bradford , L. Imsland

It is known that standard stochastic Galerkin methods encounter challenges when solving partial differential equations with high-dimensional random inputs, which are typically caused by the large number of stochastic basis functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Guanjie Wang , Smita Sahu , Qifeng Liao

Dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion (DD-GPCE) efficiently performs forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in complex engineering systems with high-dimensional random inputs of arbitrary distributions. However,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Hojun Choi , Eunho Heo , Dongjin Lee

Implementations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods need to confront two fundamental challenges: accurate representation of prior information and efficient evaluation of likelihoods. Principal component analysis (PCA) and related…