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This paper introduces Tree-based Polynomial Chaos Expansion (Tree-PCE), a novel surrogate modeling technique designed to efficiently approximate complex numerical models exhibiting nonlinearities and discontinuities. Tree-PCE combines the…

In this paper, we combine deterministic splitting methods with a polynomial chaos expansion method for solving stochastic parabolic evolution problems. The stochastic differential equation is reduced to a system of deterministic equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Andreas Kofler , Tijana Levajković , Hermann Mena , Alexander Ostermann

In this paper we propose an algorithm for recovering sparse orthogonal polynomials using stochastic collocation. Our approach is motivated by the desire to use generalized polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) to quantify uncertainty in models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John D. Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Tao Zhou

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

This work proposes a method for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of high-dimensional stochastic functions based on non-adapted random sampling. We modify the standard l1 -minimization algorithm, originally proposed in the context…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

This article considers the $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ static output-feedback control for linear time-invariant uncertain systems with polynomial dependence on probabilistic time-invariant parametric uncertainties. By applying polynomial chaos…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Yiming Wan , Dongying E. Shen , Sergio Lucia , Rolf Findeisen , Richard D. Braatz

Solving partial differential equations (PDEs) within the framework of probabilistic numerics offers a principled approach to quantifying epistemic uncertainty arising from discretization. By leveraging Gaussian process regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Akshay Thakur , Sawan Kumar , Matthew Zahr , Souvik Chakraborty

In this work, we combine the idea of data-driven polynomial chaos expansions with the weighted least-square approach to solve uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. The idea of data-driven polynomial chaos is to use statistical moments…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Ling Guo , Yongle Liu , Tao Zhou

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

This paper proposes a novel computationally efficient dynamic bi-orthogonality based approach for calibration of a computer simulator with high dimensional parametric and model structure uncertainty. The proposed method is based on a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-14 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

We study random eigenvalue problems in the context of spectral stochastic finite elements. In particular, given a parameter-dependent, symmetric positive-definite matrix operator, we explore the performance of algorithms for computing its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Bedřich Sousedík , Howard C. Elman

The consideration of stochastic uncertainty in optimal and predictive control is a well-explored topic. Recently Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCE) have received considerable attention for problems involving stochastically uncertain system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Ruchuan Ou , Learta Januzi , Jonas Schießl , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne , Timm Faulwasser

We develop a general polynomial chaos (gPC) based stochastic Galerkin (SG) for hyperbolic equations with random and singular coefficients. Due to the singu- lar nature of the solution, the standard gPC-SG methods may suffer from a poor or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-03 Shi Jin , Zheng Ma

In this work we focus on the construction of numerical schemes for the approximation of stochastic mean--field equations which preserve the nonnegativity of the solution. The method here developed makes use of a mean-field Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-10 J. A. Carrillo , L. Pareschi , M. Zanella

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

This work proposes and analyzes a generalized acceleration technique for decreasing the computational complexity of using stochastic collocation (SC) methods to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) with random input data. The SC…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Diego Galindo , Peter Jantsch , Clayton G. Webster , Guannan Zhang

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

Within the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework, the fragility model plays a pivotal role. Such a model represents the probability that the engineering demand parameter (EDP) exceeds a certain safety threshold given a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 X. Zhu , M. Broccardo , B. Sudret

Stochastic Galerkin methods for non-affine coefficient representations are known to cause major difficulties from theoretical and numerical points of view. In this work, an adaptive Galerkin FE method for linear parametric PDEs with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-02 Martin Eigel , Manuel Marschall , Max Pfeffer , Reinhold Schneider
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