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Evaluating the overall ability of players in the National Hockey League (NHL) is a difficult task. Existing methods such as the famous "plus/minus" statistic have many shortcomings. Standard linear regression methods work well when player…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-01 A. C. Thomas , Samuel L. Ventura , Shane Jensen , Stephen Ma

A hockey player's plus-minus measures the difference between goals scored by and against that player's team while the player was on the ice. This measures only a marginal effect, failing to account for the influence of the others he is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-27 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Sen Tian

We present a regularized logistic regression model for evaluating player contributions in hockey. The traditional metric for this purpose is the plus-minus statistic, which allocates a single unit of credit (for or against) to each player…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Robert B. Gramacy , Matthew A. Taddy , Shane T. Jensen

It is often said that a sign of a great player is that he makes the players around him better. The player may or may not score much himself, but his teammates perform better when he plays. One way a hockey player can improve his or her…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-25 Brian Macdonald , Christopher Weld , David C. Arney

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

The goal of this paper is to develop an adjusted plus-minus statistic for NHL players that is independent of both teammates and opponents. We use data from the shift reports on NHL.com in a weighted least squares regression to estimate an…

Applications · Statistics 2011-11-28 Brian Macdonald

Regression-based adjusted plus-minus statistics were developed in basketball and have recently come to hockey. The purpose of these statistics is to provide an estimate of each player's contribution to his team, independent of the strength…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-19 Brian Macdonald

A popular quantitative approach to evaluating player performance in sports involves comparing an observed outcome to the expected outcome ignoring player involvement, which is estimated using statistical or machine learning methods. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-22 Robert Bajons , Lucas Kook

Unlike other major professional sports, American football lacks comprehensive statistical ratings for player evaluation that are both reproducible and easily interpretable in terms of game outcomes. Existing methods for player evaluation in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-13 Ronald Yurko , Samuel Ventura , Maksim Horowitz

In this paper, we develop a logistic regression model to estimate the probability that a particular shot in an NHL game will result in a goal, and use the results to evaluate the performance of NHL skaters, goalies, and teams. We weight…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-09 Brian Macdonald , Craig Lennon , Rodney Sturdivant

Several performance metrics for quantifying the in-game performances of individual football players have been proposed in recent years. Although the majority of the on-the-ball actions during games constitutes of passes, many of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-05 Lotte Bransen , Jan Van Haaren

Traditional NBA player evaluation metrics are based on scoring differential or some pace-adjusted linear combination of box score statistics like points, rebounds, assists, etc. These measures treat performances with the outcome of the game…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-21 Sameer K. Deshpande , Shane T. Jensen

Scouting is a major part of talent acquisition for any professional sports team. In the National Hockey League (NHL), the market for scouting is set by the NHLs Central Scouting Service which develops a ranking of draft eligible players. In…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-24 Michael Schuckers , Steve Argeris

In the National Basketball Association (NBA), teams must make choices about which players to acquire, how much to pay them, and other decisions that are fundamentally dependent on player effectiveness. Thus, there is great interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Dapo Omidiran

Passing during power plays in hockey is a crucial component to move one's team closer to scoring a goal. With the use of women's ice hockey event and tracking data from the elimination round games during the 2022 Winter Olympics, we…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-02 Robyn Ritchie , Alon Harell , Phil Shreeves

In recent years, analytics has started to revolutionize the game of basketball: quantitative analyses of the game inform team strategy, management of player health and fitness, and how teams draft, sign, and trade players. In this review,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-22 Zachary Terner , Alexander Franks

Throughout the analytical revolution that has occurred in the NBA, the development of specific metrics and formulas has given teams, coaches, and players a new way to see the game. However - the question arises - how can we verify any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Eamon Mukhopadhyay

We propose a player rating mechanism for Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS ), a popular e-sport, by analyzing players' Plus/Minus values. The Plus/Minus value represents the average point difference between a player's team and the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-10 Hongyu Xu , Sarat Moka

Within baseball analytics, there is substantial interest in comprehensive statistics intended to capture overall player performance. One such measure is Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which aggregates the contributions of a player in each…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-25 Benjamin S. Baumer , Shane T. Jensen , Gregory J. Matthews

Batting average is one of the principle performance measures for an individual baseball player. It is natural to statistically model this as a binomial-variable proportion, with a given (observed) number of qualifying attempts (called…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Lawrence D. Brown
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