A Regression-based Adjusted Plus-Minus Statistic for NHL Players
Applications
2011-11-28 v3
Abstract
The goal of this paper is to develop an adjusted plus-minus statistic for NHL players that is independent of both teammates and opponents. We use data from the shift reports on NHL.com in a weighted least squares regression to estimate an NHL player's effect on his team's success in scoring and preventing goals at even strength. Both offensive and defensive components of adjusted plus-minus are given, estimates in terms of goals per 60 minutes and goals per season are given, and estimates for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are given.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1006.4310,
title = {A Regression-based Adjusted Plus-Minus Statistic for NHL Players},
author = {Brian Macdonald},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1006.4310},
year = {2011}
}
Comments
39 pages, 4 figures, 25 tables. Version 3: Typos fixed. Table of contents, list of tables, and list of figures added. Two paragraphs in discussion of goalies at the end of Section 3.3 were added