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Preterm birth rate (PBR) stands out as a major public health concern in the U.S. However, effective policies for mitigating the problem is largely unknown. The complexities of the problem raise critical questions: Why is PBR increasing…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-10 Alireza Ebrahimvandi , Niyousha Hosseinichimeh

Infant deaths and old age deaths are very different. The former are mostly due to severe congenital malformations of one or a small number of specific organs. On the contrary, old age deaths are largely the outcome of a long process of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-06-17 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

Purpose: Prior event rate ratio (PERR) method was proposed to control for measured or unmeasured confounders in real-world evaluation of effectiveness and safety of medical treatments using electronic medical records data. A widely cited…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Yin Bun Cheung , Xiangmei Ma

A linear mixed-effects (LME) model is proposed for modelling and forecasting single and multi-population age-specific death rates (ASDRs). The innovative approach that we take in this study treats age, the interaction between gender and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Reza Dastranj , Martin Kolar

Regionalization of intensive care for premature babies refers to a triage system of mothers with high-risk pregnancies to hospitals of varied capabilities based on risks faced by infants. Due to the limited capacity of high-level hospitals,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Zhe Chen , Min Haeng Cho , Bo Zhang

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

As populations age, the rise of multimorbidity poses a significant healthcare challenge. However, our ability to quantitatively forecast the progression of multimorbidity remains limited. Leveraging a nationwide dataset comprising…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-29 Katharina Ledebur , Alexandra Kautzky-Willer , Stefan Thurner , Peter Klimek

There is effect modification if the magnitude or stability of a treatment effect varies systematically with the level of an observed covariate. A larger or more stable treatment effect is typically less sensitive to bias from unmeasured…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-12 Kwonsang Lee , Dylan S. Small , Jesse Y. Hsu , Jeffrey H. Silber , Paul R. Rosenbaum

Preterm infants with very low birth weight suffer from a high risk of intra-ventricular hemorrhage(IVH) and other serious diseases. To improve the clinical risk assessment of preterm infants and develop potential clinically makers for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-24 Ying Zhang

Accurate and precise estimates of the under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) are an important health summary for countries. However, full survival curves allow us to better understand the pattern of mortality in children under five. Modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-19 Taylor Okonek , Katherine Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Understanding how effective high-level NICUs (neonatal intensive care units that have the capacity for sustained mechanical assisted ventilation and high volume) are compared to low-level NICUs is important and valuable for both individual…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-10 Fan Yang , Scott A. Lorch , Dylan S. Small

Understanding patterns in mortality across subpopulations is essential for local health policy decision making. One of the key challenges of subnational mortality rate estimation is the presence of small populations and zero or near zero…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-16 Ameer Dharamshi , Monica Alexander , Celeste Winant , Magali Barbieri

Age-specific mortality improvements are non-uniform, neither across ages nor across time. We propose a two-step procedure to estimate the rates of mortality improvement (RMI) in age-specific death rates (ASDR) at ages 85 and above for ten…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-30 Trifon I. Missov , Silvio C. Patricio , Francisco Villavicencio

Accurate estimates of the under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) in a developing world context are a key barometer of the health of a nation. This paper describes new models to analyze survey data on mortality in this context. We are interested in…

Most studies on inequality in infant and child mortality compare average mortality rates between large groups of births, for example, comparing births from different countries, income groups, ethnicities, or different times. These studies…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-23 Antonio P. Ramos , Robert E. Weiss

State-level policy evaluations commonly employ a difference-in-differences (DID) study design; yet within this framework, statistical model specification varies notably across studies. Motivated by applied state-level opioid policy…

COVID-19 pandemic is an ongoing global pandemic which has caused unprecedented disruptions in the public health sector and global economy. The virus, SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the rapid transmission of coronavirus disease. Due to its…

Studies have shown that exposure to air pollution, even at low levels, significantly increases mortality. As regulatory actions are becoming prohibitively expensive, robust evidence to guide the development of targeted interventions to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-20 Kwonsang Lee , Dylan S. Small , Francesca Dominici

The persistent battle to decrease childhood mortality serves as a commonly employed benchmark for gauging advancements in the field of medicine. Globally, the under-5 mortality rate stands at approximately 5 million, with a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Binod Regmi , Chiranjibi Shah

In the initial wave of the COVID-19 pandemic we observed great discrepancies in both infection and mortality rates between countries. Besides the biological and epidemiological factors, a multitude of social and economic criteria also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-14 Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Petar Jolakoski , Dragan Tevdovski , Ljupco Kocarev