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This article deals with the solution of linear ill-posed equations in Hilbert spaces. Often, one only has a corrupted measurement of the right hand side at hand and the Bakushinskii veto tells us, that we are not able to solve the equation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Bastian Harrach , Tim Jahn , Roland Potthast

We introduce a framework for uncertainty estimation that both describes and extends many existing methods. We consider typical hyperparameters involved in classical training as random variables and marginalise them out to capture various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Francesco Farina , Lawrence Phillips , Nicola J Richmond

In this paper, we introduce a class of improved estimators for the mean parameter matrix of a multivariate normal distribution with an unknown variance-covariance matrix. In particular, the main results of [D.Ch\'etelat and M. T.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Arash A. Foroushani , Severien Nkurunziza

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

Finite sample bounds on the estimation error of the mean by the empirical mean, uniform over a class of functions, can often be conveniently obtained in terms of Rademacher or Gaussian averages of the class. If a function of n variables has…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-10 Andreas Maurer

We consider the fundamental problem of estimating the mean of a vector $y=X\beta+z$, where $X$ is an $n\times p$ design matrix in which one can have far more variables than observations, and $z$ is a stochastic error term--the so-called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Emmanuel J. Candès , Yaniv Plan

The purpose of this paper is to study the problem of generalizing the Belavkin-Kalman filter to the case where the classical measurement signal is replaced by a fully quantum non-commutative output signal. We formulate a least mean squares…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-23 Nina H. Amini , Zibo Miao , Yu Pan , Matthew R. James , Hideo Mabuchi

Bessel's correction adjusts the denominator in the sample variance formula from n to n-1 to ensure an unbiased estimator of the population variance. This paper provides rigorous algebraic derivations geometric interpretations and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Felix Reichel

We provide a lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable is exceeding its mean. Our proof employs estimates on the mean absolute deviation and the tail conditional expectation of binomial random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

For linear inverse problems with Gaussian priors and Gaussian observation noise, the posterior is Gaussian, with mean and covariance determined by the conditioning formula. The covariance is the central object for uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Giuseppe Carere , Han Cheng Lie

Designs which are minimax in the presence of model misspecifications have been constructed so as to minimize the maximum, over classes of alternate response models, of the integrated mean squared error of the predicted values. This mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Douglas P. Wiens

The quantity of interest in the classical Cram\'er-Rao theory of unbiased estimation (e.g., the Cram\'er-Rao lower bound, its exact attainment for exponential families, and asymptotic efficiency of maximum likelihood estimation) is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Nicolás García Trillos , Adam Quinn Jaffe , Bodhisattva Sen

This paper deals with the problem of estimating predictive densities of a matrix-variate normal distribution with known covariance matrix. Our main aim is to establish some Bayesian predictive densities related to matricial shrinkage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Hisayuki Tsukuma , Tatsuya Kubokawa

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

The least squares (LS) estimator and the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) are two well-studied approaches for the estimation of a deterministic but unknown parameter vector. In many applications it is known that the parameter vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Mario Huemer , Markus Steindl

This paper is devoted to the problem of determining the concentration bounds that are achievable in non-parametric regression. We consider the setting where features are supported on a bounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, the regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Anna Ben-Hamou , Arnaud Guyader

The paper presents analytic expressions of minimax (worst-case) estimates for solutions of linear abstract Neumann problems in Hilbert space with uncertain (not necessarily bounded!) inputs and boundary conditions given incomplete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Alexander Nakonechnyi , Sergiy Zhuk

We develop a finite-sample optimal estimator for regression discontinuity design when the outcomes are bounded, including binary outcomes as the leading case. Our estimator achieves minimax mean squared error among linear shrinkage…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Takuya Ishihara , Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Yata

Consider the problem of estimating the Shannon entropy of a distribution over $k$ elements from $n$ independent samples. We show that the minimax mean-square error is within universal multiplicative constant factors of $$\Big(\frac{k }{n…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-19 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang
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