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A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-27 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

The laws of quantum mechanics place fundamental limits on the accuracy of measurements and therefore on the estimation of unknown parameters of a quantum system. In this work, we prove lower bounds on the size of confidence regions reported…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-23 Michael Walter , Joseph M. Renes

We study in this paper lower bounds for the generalization error of models derived from multi-layer neural networks, in the regime where the size of the layers is commensurate with the number of samples in the training data. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-08 Inbar Seroussi , Ofer Zeitouni

It is a common phenomenon that for high-dimensional and nonparametric statistical models, rate-optimal estimators balance squared bias and variance. Although this balancing is widely observed, little is known whether methods exist that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Given an i.i.d. sample drawn from some probability distribution on a finite set, the best (in the sense of least variance) linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of the average of any quantity with respect to that distribution is the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Bastiaan J. Braams

Information geometry describes a framework where probability densities can be viewed as differential geometry structures. This approach has shown that the geometry in the space of probability distributions that are parameterized by their…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-16 M. Ashok Kumar , Kumar Vijay Mishra

The widely used quantum Cramer-Rao bound (QCRB) sets a lower bound for the mean square error of unbiased estimators in quantum parameter estimation, however, in general QCRB is only tight in the asymptotical limit. With a limited number of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-07 Jing Liu , Haidong Yuan

In this paper we derive the optimal linear shrinkage estimator for the high-dimensional mean vector using random matrix theory. The results are obtained under the assumption that both the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$ tend to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Taras Bodnar , Ostap Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

For normal canonical models, and more generally a vast array of general spherically symmetric location-scale models with a residual vector, we consider estimating the (univariate) location parameter when it is lower bounded. We provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Eric Marchand , William Strawderman

We consider the problem of linear estimation, and establish an extension of the Gauss-Markov theorem, in which the bias operator is allowed to be non-zero but bounded with respect to a matrix norm of Schatten type. We derive simple and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Simon Segert

The inverse covariance matrix provides considerable insight for understanding statistical models in the multivariate setting. In particular, when the distribution over variables is assumed to be multivariate normal, the sparsity pattern in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-20 Addison Hu , Sahand Negahban

We study design-unbiased estimation of the finite-population total $\sum_{i=1}^N y_i$ when each outcome satisfies known bounds $y_i\in[a_i,b_i]$. For any sampling design with inclusion probabilities $\pi_i>0$, we prove a sharp lower bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 P. M. Aronow , Patrick Lopatto

Unbiased estimation for parameters of maximal distribution is a very fundamental problem in the statistical theory of sublinear expectation. In this paper, we proved that the maximum estimator is the largest unbiased estimator for the upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Hanqing Jin , Shige Peng

We introduce a variant of the $k$-nearest neighbor classifier in which $k$ is chosen adaptively for each query, rather than supplied as a parameter. The choice of $k$ depends on properties of each neighborhood, and therefore may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Akshay Balsubramani , Sanjoy Dasgupta , Yoav Freund , Shay Moran

We consider Tikhonov-type variational regularization of ill-posed linear operator equations in Banach spaces with general convex penalty functionals. Upper bounds for certain error measures expressing the distance between exact and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Jens Flemming

Explaining how overparametrized neural networks simultaneously achieve low risk and zero empirical risk on benchmark datasets is an open problem. PAC-Bayes bounds optimized using variational inference (VI) have been recently proposed as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-06 Konstantinos Pitas

This paper deals with the problem of estimating a slope parameter in a simple linear regression model, where independent variables have functional measurement errors. Measurement errors in independent variables, as is well known, cause…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Hisayuki Tsukuma