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We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

We consider the problem of fitting a set of points in Euclidean space by an algebraic hypersurface. We assume that points on a true hypersurface, described by a polynomial equation, are corrupted by zero mean independent Gaussian noise, and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 Konstantin Usevich , Ivan Markovsky

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

We consider best approximation problems in a nonlinear subset $\mathcal{M}$ of a Banach space of functions $(\mathcal{V},\|\bullet\|)$. The norm is assumed to be a generalization of the $L^2$-norm for which only a weighted Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Martin Eigel , Reinhold Schneider , Philipp Trunschke

We consider the problem of estimating a random state vector when there is information about the maximum distances between its subvectors. The estimation problem is posed in a Bayesian framework in which the minimum mean square error (MMSE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Dave Zachariah , Isaac Skog , Magnus Jansson , Peter Händel

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

A central result in statistical theory is Pinsker's theorem, which characterizes the minimax rate in the normal means model of nonparametric estimation. In this paper, we present an extension to Pinsker's theorem where estimation is carried…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-25 Yuancheng Zhu , John Lafferty

The Cram\'er-Rao bound serves as a crucial lower limit for the mean squared error of an estimator in frequentist parameter estimation. Paradoxically, it requires highly accurate prior knowledge of the estimated parameter for constructing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-21 Javier Navarro , Ricard Ravell Rodríguez , Mikel Sanz

The exact expression is derived for the expected value, $< {p_i}> $, for the parameter for any bin $i$ of a histogram following a multinomial distribution derived by sorting $N$ observations into bins of $B$ classes, if $n_i$ of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-18 Jonathan M. Friedman

We present the first minimax risk bounds for estimators of the spectral measure in multivariate linear factor models, where observations are linear combinations of regularly varying latent factors. Non-asymptotic convergence rates are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

In the nonparametric regression setting, we construct an estimator which is a continuous function interpolating the data points with high probability, while attaining minimax optimal rates under mean squared risk on the scale of H\"older…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Julien Chhor , Suzanne Sigalla , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Debiased estimation has long been an area of research in the group testing literature. This has led to the development of several estimators with the goal of bias minimization and, recently, an unbiased estimator based on sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Gregory Haber , Yaakov Malinovsky

The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Alexandre G. Patriota

For regular parametric problems, we show how median centering of the maximum likelihood estimate can be achieved by a simple modification of the score equation. For a scalar parameter of interest, the estimator is equivariant under interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-03 Euloge Clovis , Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

Variational source conditions proved useful for deriving convergence rates for Tikhonov's regularization method and also for other methods. Up to now such conditions have been verified only for few examples or for situations which can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Jens Flemming

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

We propose a general theorem providing upper bounds for the risk of an empirical risk minimizer (ERM).We essentially focus on the binary classification framework. We extend Tsybakov's analysis of the risk of an ERM under margin type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Pascal Massart , Élodie Nédélec