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We obtain the optimal Bayesian minimax rate for the unconstrained large covariance matrix of multivariate normal sample with mean zero, when both the sample size, n, and the dimension, p, of the covariance matrix tend to infinity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Kyoungjae Lee , Jaeyong Lee

Many causal estimands, such as average treatment effects under unconfoundedness, can be written as continuous linear functionals of an unknown regression function. We study a weighting estimator that sets weights by a minimax procedure:…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

We consider Bayesian inference of signals with vector-valued entries. Extending concentration techniques from the mathematical physics of spin glasses, we show that the matrix-valued minimum mean-square error concentrates when the size of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-17 Jean Barbier

For classical estimation with an underlying linear model the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) is usually utilized for estimating the deterministic but unknown parameter vector. In the case of real valued parameter vectors but complex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Oliver Lang , Mario Huemer

We propose a general error analysis related to the low-rank approximation of a given real matrix in both the spectral and Frobenius norms. First, we derive deterministic error bounds that hold with some minimal assumptions. Second, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Youssef Diouane , Selime Gürol , Alexandre Scotto Di Perrotolo , Xavier Vasseur

This paper presents a new performance bound for estimation problems where the parameter to estimate lies in a Riemannian manifold (a smooth manifold endowed with a Riemannian metric) and follows a given prior distribution. In this setup,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Florent Bouchard , Alexandre Renaux , Guillaume Ginolhac , Arnaud Breloy

Given data drawn from a collection of Gaussian variables with a common mean but different and unknown variances, what is the best algorithm for estimating their common mean? We present an intuitive and efficient algorithm for this task. As…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Spencer Compton , Gregory Valiant

In statistical inference, uncertainty is unknown and all models are wrong. That is to say, a person who makes a statistical model and a prior distribution is simultaneously aware that both are fictional candidates. To study such cases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Sumio Watanabe

In this article, we consider scenarios in which traditional estimates for the active subspace method based on probabilistic Poincar\'e inequalities are not valid due to unbounded Poincar\'e constants. Consequently, we propose a framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mario Teixeira Parente , Jonas Wallin , Barbara Wohlmuth

Given a full rank matrix $X$ with more columns than rows, consider the task of estimating the pseudo inverse $X^+$ based on the pseudo inverse of a sampled subset of columns (of size at least the number of rows). We show that this is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth

The negative multinomial distribution is a multivariate generalization of the negative binomial distribution. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating an unknown matrix of probabilities on the basis of observations of negative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Yasuyuki Hamura , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We describe a hierarchical Bayesian approach for inference about a parameter $\theta$ lower-bounded by $\alpha$ with uncertain $\alpha$, derive some basic identities for posterior analysis about $(\theta,\alpha)$, and provide illustrations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Éric Marchand , Theodoros Nicoleris

The kernel-based method has been successfully applied in linear system identification using stable kernel designs. From a Gaussian process perspective, it automatically provides probabilistic error bounds for the identified models from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Roy S. Smith

This work examines risk bounds for nonparametric distributional regression estimators. For convex-constrained distributional regression, general upper bounds are established for the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the…

We give an upper bound on the total variation distance between the linear eigenvalue statistic, properly scaled and centred, of a random matrix with a variance profile and the standard Gaussian random variable. The second order Poincar\'e…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Kartick Adhikari , Indrajit Jana , Koushik Saha

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

Tikhonov regularization for projected solutions of large-scale ill-posed problems is considered. The Golub-Kahan iterative bidiagonalization is used to project the problem onto a subspace and regularization then applied to find a subspace…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Rosemary A. Renaut , Saeed Vatankhah , Vahid E. Ardestani

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey

The creation and justification of the methods for minimax estimation of parameters of the external boundary value problems for the Helmholtz equation in unbounded domains are considered. When observations are distributed in subdomains, the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-10-14 Yury Podlipenko , Yury Shestopalov , Vladimir Prishlyak
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