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This paper presents an innovative extension of spatial autoregressive (SAR) models, introducing spatial coefficients specific to each spatial region that evolve over time. The proposed estimation methodology covers both homoscedastic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 N. A. Cruz , D. A. Romero , O. O. Melo

Statistical models that involve latent Markovian state processes have become immensely popular tools for analysing time series and other sequential data. However, the plethora of model formulations, the inconsistent use of terminology, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Sina Mews , Jan-Ole Koslik , Roland Langrock

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

This work describes a novel data-driven latent space inference framework built on paired autoencoders to handle observational inconsistencies when solving inverse problems. Our approach uses two autoencoders, one for the parameter space and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Emma Hart , Bas Peters , Julianne Chung , Matthias Chung

This article presents a re-structuring of spatial econometric models in a linear mixed model framework. To that end, it proposes low rank spatial econometric models that are robust to the existence of noise (i.e., measurement error), and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 Daisuke Murakami , Hajime Seya , Daniel A. Griffith

Reinforcement learning has recently been used to enhance index structures, giving rise to reinforcement learning-enhanced spatial indices (RLESIs) that aim to improve query efficiency during index construction. However, their practical…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Guanli Liu , Renata Borovica-Gajic , Hai Lan , Zhifeng Bao

In this paper we describe fast Bayesian statistical analysis of vector positive-valued time series, with application to interesting financial data streams. We discuss a flexible level correlated model (LCM) framework for building…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Chiranjit Dutta , Nalini Ravishanker , Sumanta Basu

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a well-established statistical tool for modeling complex nonlinear relationships between covariates and a response assumed to have a conditional distribution in the exponential family. In this article,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Oswaldo Gressani , Philippe Lambert

We present a scalable and robust Bayesian inference method for linear state space models. The method is applied to demand forecasting in the context of a large e-commerce platform, paying special attention to intermittent and bursty target…

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

Self-Exciting models are statistical models of count data where the probability of an event occurring is influenced by the history of the process. In particular, self-exciting spatio-temporal models allow for spatial dependence as well as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-29 Nicholas J. Clark , Philip M. Dixon

Two-part joint models for a longitudinal semicontinuous biomarker and a terminal event have been recently introduced based on frequentist estimation. The biomarker distribution is decomposed into a probability of positive value and the…

Regression models for circular variables are less developed, since the concept of building a linear predictor from linear combinations of covariates and various random effects, breaks the circular nature of the variable. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Xiang Ye , Janet Van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

Data assimilation is crucial in a wide range of applications, but it often faces challenges such as high computational costs due to data dimensionality and incomplete understanding of underlying mechanisms. To address these challenges, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Zhuoyuan Li , Bin Dong , Pingwen Zhang

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

The Bayesian paradigm has the potential to solve core issues of deep neural networks such as poor calibration and data inefficiency. Alas, scaling Bayesian inference to large weight spaces often requires restrictive approximations. In this…

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

Joint models have received increasing attention during recent years with extensions into various directions; numerous hazard functions, different association structures, linear and non-linear longitudinal trajectories amongst others. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Janet Van Niekerk , Haakon Bakka , Haavard Rue
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