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We introduce a scalable method to approximate the kernel of the Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA). For this, we use a surrogate deep neural network (DNN) that learns a compact feature representation whose inner product replicates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Luis A. Ortega , Simón Rodríguez-Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Under the classical long-span asymptotic framework we develop a class of Generalized Laplace (GL) inference methods for the change-point dates in a linear time series regression model with multiple structural changes analyzed in, e.g., Bai…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Subspace inference for neural networks assumes that a subspace of their parameter space suffices to produce a reliable uncertainty quantification. In this work, we underpin the validity of this assumption by using low rank techniques. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Josua Faller , Jörg Martin

Bayesian latent space models offer a principled approach to network representation, but rely on correct specification of both geometry and link function. Real-world networks often violate these assumptions, exhibiting geometric mismatch and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Aldric Labarthe

The classical functional linear regression model (FLM) and its extensions, which are based on the assumption that all individuals are mutually independent, have been well studied and are used by many researchers. This independence…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-02 Tingting Huang , Gilbert Saporta , Huiwen Wang , Shanshan Wang

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is introduced. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex networked system. This new formulation allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Scientific modeling and engineering applications rely heavily on parameter estimation methods to fit physical models and calibrate numerical simulations using real-world measurements. In the absence of analytic statistical models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Ruoxi Jiang , Peter Y. Lu , Rebecca Willett

Aerodynamic surrogate models are increasingly used to replace repeated high-fidelity CFD evaluations in many-query design settings, but current approaches still face two important limitations: they often scale poorly to the very large…

In this paper we recast the problem of missing values in the covariates of a regression model as a latent Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model in a fully Bayesian framework. Our proposed approach is based on the definition of the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-24 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Michela Cameletti , Marta Blangiardo

Recent developments in engineering techniques for spatial data collection such as geographic information systems have resulted in an increasing need for methods to analyze large spatial data sets. These sorts of data sets can be found in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Toshihiro Hirano

This paper introduces an Interpretable Neural Network (INN) incorporating spatial information to tackle the opaque parameterization process of random weighted neural networks. The INN leverages spatial information to elucidate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Jing Nan , Wei Dai

Estimation of stationary dependence structure parameters using only a single realisation of the spatial process, typically leads to inaccurate estimates and poorly identified parameters. A common way to handle this is to fix some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-24 Rikke Ingebrigtsen , Finn Lindgren , Ingelin Steinsland , Sara Martino

High-dimensional, heterogeneous data with complex feature interactions pose significant challenges for traditional predictive modeling approaches. While Projection to Latent Structures (PLS) remains a popular technique, it struggles to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Farwa Abbas , Hussain Ahmad , Claudia Szabo

Spatio-temporal modeling of wireless access latency is of great importance for connected-vehicular systems. The quality of the molded results rely heavily on the number and quality of samples which can vary significantly due to the sensor…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Rong Xia , Yong Xiao , Yingyu Li , Marwan Krunz , Dusit Niyato

Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) has emerged as a new paradigm for cost-efficient fine-tuning of large language models (LLMs). However, fine-tuned LLMs often become overconfident especially when fine-tuned on small datasets. Bayesian methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Adam X. Yang , Maxime Robeyns , Xi Wang , Laurence Aitchison

Ordinary differential equations are arguably the most popular and useful mathematical tool for describing physical and biological processes in the real world. Often, these physical and biological processes are observed with errors, in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-26 Sarat C. Dass , Jaeyong Lee , Kyoungjae Lee , Jonghun Park

Disentangled representation learning offers useful properties such as dimension reduction and interpretability, which are essential to modern deep learning approaches. Although deep learning techniques have been widely applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Sichen Zhao , Wei Shao , Jeffrey Chan , Flora D. Salim

Time series with long-term structure arise in a variety of contexts and capturing this temporal structure is a critical challenge in time series analysis for both inference and forecasting settings. Traditionally, state space models have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Anna K. Yanchenko , Sayan Mukherjee

Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

Simulations play a key role for inference in collider physics. We explore various approaches for enhancing the precision of simulations using machine learning, including interventions at the end of the simulation chain (reweighting), at the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin Nachman , Ramon Winterhalder
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