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Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are perhaps the most commonly used class of models in statistical applications. Nevertheless, in areas ranging from longitudinal studies in biostatistics to geostatistics, it is easy to find datasets that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Rafael Cabral , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

Although the statistical literature extensively covers continuous-valued time series processes and their parametric, non-parametric and semiparametric estimation, the literature on count data time series is considerably less advanced. Among…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-16 Maxime Faymonville , Javiera Riffo , Jonas Rieger , Carsten Jentsch

Double hierarchical generalized linear models (DHGLM) are a family of models that are flexible enough as to model hierarchically the mean and scale parameters. In a Bayesian framework, fitting highly parameterized hierarchical models is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-20 Mabel Morales-Otero , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Vicente Núñez-Antón

We consider latent Gaussian fields for modelling spatial dependence in the context of both spatial point patterns and areal data, providing two different applications. The inhomogeneous Log-Gaussian Cox Process model is specified to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-01 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Antonino Abbruzzo , Giada Adelfio

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) encompass large class of statistical models, with a vast range of applications areas. GLMM extends the linear mixed models allowing for different types of response variable. Three most common data…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Paulo Justiniano Ribeiro , Silvia emiko Shimakura

The rapid growth of online network platforms generates large-scale network data and it poses great challenges for statistical analysis using the spatial autoregression (SAR) model. In this work, we develop a novel distributed estimation and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-29 Yimeng Ren , Zhe Li , Xuening Zhu , Yuan Gao , Hansheng Wang

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

This paper proposes a new methodological framework for estimating inferential models with latent variables. It also introduces a new latent variable regression model called LARX: an extension of the ubiquitous autoregressive model with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Daniil Bargman

This paper introduces the R package INLAjoint, designed as a toolbox for fitting a diverse range of regression models addressing both longitudinal and survival outcomes. INLAjoint relies on the computational efficiency of the integrated…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Denis Rustand , Janet van Niekerk , Elias Teixeira Krainski , Håvard Rue

Although distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs) are commonly used to quantify delayed and non-linear exposure-response relationships, most existing applications assume that these relationships are constant across space. However, in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Sara Rutten , Thomas Neyens , Elisa Duarte , Antonio Gasparrini , Christel Faes

Deep neural networks (DNNs) often produce overconfident out-of-distribution predictions, motivating Bayesian uncertainty quantification. The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) achieves this by linearizing the DNN and applying Laplace…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-04 Pedro Jiménez , Luis A. Ortega , Pablo Morales-Álvarez , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

State-space models (SSMs) are powerful probabilistic tools for modeling time-varying systems with latent dynamics. Inference in SSMs involves the estimation of latent states and parameters. In this work, we focus on parameter inference,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-22 Kostas Tsampourakis , Víctor Elvira

Spatio-temporal Bayesian inference drives environmental and health sciences using latent Gaussian models. Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA) enable inference for these models at HPC scale but rely on derivative-based…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Afif Boudaoud , Lisa Gaedke-Merzhäuser , Alexandros Nikolaos Ziogas , Vincent Maillou , Alexandru Calotoiu , Marcin Copik , Håvard Rue , Mathieu Luisier , Torsten Hoefler

When using R package tmbstan for Bayesian inference, the built-in feature Laplace approximation to the marginal likelihood with random effects integrated out can be switched on and off. There exists no guideline on whether Laplace…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Yihan Cao , Jarle Tufto

A new method is introduced which uses higher-order Laplace approximation to evaluate functional integrals much faster than existing methods. An implementation in MATLAB is called SLAM-FIT (Sparse Laplace Approximation Method for Functional…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-27 John Tillinghast

Latent variable models for ordinal data represent a useful tool in different fields of research in which the constructs of interest are not directly observable. In such models, problems related to the integration of the likelihood function…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Silvia Bianconcini , Silvia Cagnone

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Background: We aimed to design a Bayesian adaption trial through extensive simulations to determine values for key design parameters, demonstrate error rates, and establish the expected sample size. The complexity of the proposed outcome…

Laplace approximation (LA) and its linearized variant (LLA) enable effortless adaptation of pretrained deep neural networks to Bayesian neural networks. The generalized Gauss-Newton (GGN) approximation is typically introduced to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhijie Deng , Feng Zhou , Jun Zhu

Spatio-temporal hidden Markov models are extremely difficult to estimate because their latent joint distributions are available only in trivial cases. In the estimation phase, these latent distributions are usually substituted with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Daniele Tancini , Riccardo Rastelli , Francesco Bartolucci