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This paper proposes a two-stage estimation approach for a spatial misalignment scenario that is motivated by the epidemiological problem of linking pollutant exposures and health outcomes. We use the integrated nested Laplace approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Stephen Jun Villejo , Janine B Illian , Ben Swallow

Current implementations of multiresolution methods are limited in terms of possible types of responses and approaches to inference. We provide a multiresolution approach for spatial analysis of non-Gaussian responses using latent Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-27 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield

Data assimilation (DA) methods use priors arising from differential equations to robustly interpolate and extrapolate data. Popular techniques such as ensemble methods that handle high-dimensional, nonlinear PDE priors focus mostly on state…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Rafael Anderka , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Bayesian structural equation modelling (BSEM) offers many advantages such as principled uncertainty quantification, small-sample regularisation, and flexible model specification. However, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods on which…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

The goal of phylodynamics, an area on the intersection of phylogenetics and population genetics, is to reconstruct population size dynamics from genetic data. Recently, a series of nonparametric Bayesian methods have been proposed for such…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-19 Julia A. Palacios , Vladimir N. Minin

Measurement error (ME) and missing values in covariates are often unavoidable in disciplines that deal with data, and both problems have separately received considerable attention during the past decades. However, while most researchers are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Emma Sofie Skarstein , Sara Martino , Stefanie Muff

Bayesian methods and software for spatial data analysis are generally now well established in the scientific community. Despite the wide application of spatial models, the analysis of multivariate spatial data using R-INLA has not been…

The Laplace approximation (LA) has been proposed as a method for approximating the marginal likelihood of statistical models with latent variables. However, the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) based on the LA are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

A Bayesian approach to predicting traffic flows at signalised intersections is considered using the the INLA framework. INLA is a deterministic, computationally efficient alternative to MCMC for estimating a posterior distribution. It is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-09 D. Townsend , C. Nel

Bayesian hierarchical models are increasingly popular for realistic modelling and analysis of complex data. This trend is accompanied by the need for flexible, general, and computationally efficient methods for model criticism and conflict…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Egil Ferkingstad , Leonhard Held , Håvard Rue

Statistical applications often involve the calculation of intractable multidimensional integrals. The Laplace formula is widely used to approximate such integrals. However, in high-dimensional or small sample size problems, the shape of the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-30 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura

The analysis of case-control point pattern data is an important problem in spatial epidemiology. The spatial variation of cases if often compared to that of a set of controls to assess spatial risk variation as well as the detection of risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Francisco Palmí-Perales , Finn Lindgren , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio

1 - Spatial confounding is a phenomenon that has been studied extensively in recent years in the statistical literature to describe and mitigate apparent inconsistencies between the results obtained by regression models with and without…

We address in this paper a new approach for fitting spatiotemporal models with application in disease mapping using the interaction types 1,2,3, and 4. When we account for the spatiotemporal interactions in disease-mapping models, inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Esmail Abdul Fattah , Haavard Rue

Distributed lag non-linear models (DLNM) have gained popularity for modeling nonlinear lagged relationships between exposures and outcomes. When applied to spatially referenced data, these models must account for spatial dependence, a…

The INLAMSM package for the R programming language provides a collection of multivariate spatial models for lattice data that can be used with package INLA for Bayesian inference. The multivariate spatial models include different structures…

The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) has been recently used to perform uncertainty estimation on the predictions of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs). However, its widespread application is hindered by significant computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Luis A. Ortega , Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We develop a stochastic modeling approach based on spatial point processes of log-Gaussian Cox type for a collection of around 5000 landslide events provoked by a precipitation trigger in Sicily, Italy. Through the embedding into a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-11 Luigi Lombardo , Thomas Opitz , Raphael Huser

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn