Related papers: Stochastic Exponentials and Logarithms on Stochast…
Explicit formulas for the mean and variance of linear stochastic differential equations are derived in terms of an exponential matrix. This result improved a previous one by means of which the mean and variance are expressed in terms of a…
Machine learning provides algorithms that can learn from data and make inferences or predictions on data. Stochastic acceptors or probabilistic automata are stochastic automata without output that can model components in machine learning…
We design a prediction market to recover a complete and fully general probability distribution over a random variable. Traders buy and sell interval securities that pay \$1 if the outcome falls into an interval and \$0 otherwise. Our market…
We show that extremal dynamics is very well modelled by the "Linear Fractional Stable Motion" (LFSM), a stochastic process entirely defined by two exponents that take into account spatio-temporal correlations in the distribution of active…
This paper offers a systematic investigation on the existence of equivalent local martingale deflators, which are multiplicative special semimartingales, in financial markets given by positive semimartingales. In particular, it shows that…
The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…
Typically, a stochastic model relates stochastic "inputs" and, perhaps, controls to stochastic "outputs". A general version of the Yamada-Watanabe and Engelbert theorems relating existence and uniqueness of weak and strong solutions of…
Suppose that $X_1, \ldots , X_n$ are continuous semimartingales that are reversible and have nondegenerate crossings. Then the corresponding rank processes can be represented by generalized Stratonovich integrals, and this representation…
We introduce a stochastic fractional calculus. As an application, we present a stochastic fractional calculus of variations, which generalizes the fractional calculus of variations to stochastic processes. A stochastic fractional…
We propose several exponential inequalities for self-normalized martingales similar to those established by De la Pe\~{n}a. The keystone is the introduction of a new notion of random variable heavy on left or right. Applications associated…
This paper contributes to the study of relative martingales. Specifically, for a closed random set $H$, they are processes null on $H$ which decompose as $M=m+v$, where $m$ is a c\`adl\`ag uniformly integrable martingale and, $v$ is a…
The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…
There is recent interest in finding a potential formulation for Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs). The rationale behind this idea lies in obtaining all the dynamical information of the system under study from one single…
A numerical approach for the approximation of inertial manifolds of stochastic evolutionary equations with multiplicative noise is presented and illustrated. After splitting the stochastic evolutionary equations into a backward and a…
Sequences of orthogonal polynomials that are alternative to the Jacobi polynomials on the interval $[0,1]$ are defined and their properties are established. An $(\alpha,\beta)$-parameterized system of orthogonal polynomials of the…
We introduce a theory of stochastic integration with respect to a family of semimartingales depending on a continuous parameter, as a mathematical background to the theory of bond markets. We apply our results to the problem of…
A tight upper bound is given on the distribution of the maximum of a supermartingale. Specifically, it is shown that if $Y$ is a semimartingale with initial value zero and quadratic variation process $[Y,Y]$ such that $Y + [Y,Y]$ is a…
We consider stochastic dynamical systems defined by differential equations with a uniform random time delay. The latter equations are shown to be equivalent to deterministic higher-order differential equations: for an $n$-th order equation…
The purpose of this paper is to study certain set-valued integrals in UMD Banach spaces and provide a compatible form of the martingale representation theorem for set-valued martingales. Under specific conditions, these martingales can be…
A nonlinear oscillator with an abruptly inhomogeneous restoring force driven by an uniform oscillating force exhibits stochastic properties under specific resonance conditions. This behaviour elucidates the elementary mechanism of the…