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Exponential smoothers are a simple and memory efficient way to compute running averages of time series. Here we define and describe practical properties of exponential smoothers for signals observed at constant and variable intervals.

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Javier R. Movellan

Dzhaparidze and Spreij [5] showed that the quadratic variation of a semimartingale can be approximated using a randomized periodogram. We show that the same approximation is valid for a special class of continuous stochastic processes. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-07 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Esko Valkeila

The objective of this paper is to derive a representation of symmetric G-martingales as stochastic integrals with respect to the G-Brownian motion. For this end, we first study some extensions of stochastic calculus with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-17 Qian Lin

Several versions of It\^{o}'s formula have been obtained in the context of the functional stochastic calculus. Here, we revisit this topic in two ways. First, by defining a notion of derivative along a functional, we extend the setting of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Christian Houdré , Jorge Víquez

We construct a pathwise calculus for functionals of integer-valued measures and use it to derive an martingale representation formula with respect to a large class of integer-valued random measures. Using these results, we extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Pierre M. Blacque-Florentin , Rama Cont

We give an infinitesimal meaning to the symbol $dX_t$ for a continuous semimartingale $X$ at an instant in time $t$. We define a vector space structure on the space of differentials at time $t$ and deduce key properties consistent with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-30 John Armstrong , Andrei Ionescu

Given the discrete-time sequence of nonnegative random variables, general dependencies between the exponential convergence of the expectations, exponential convergence of the trajectories and the logarithmic growth of the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Dawid Tarłowski

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

We derive exponential bounds for tail of distribution for natural, i.e. under ordinary logarithm, normalized sums of arrays of random variables, not necessarily independent.

Many results in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance involve local martingales. However, specific examples of strict local martingales are rare and analytically often rather unhandy. We study local martingales that follow a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Martin Herdegen , Sebastian Herrmann

In this work we introduce a theory of stochastic integration with respect to general cylindrical semimartingales defined on a locally convex space $\Phi$. Our construction of the stochastic integral is based on the theory of tensor products…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-06 C. A. Fonseca-Mora

In this paper we study the path-regularity and martingale properties of the set-valued stochastic integrals defined in our previous work Ararat et al. (2023). Such integrals have some fundamental differences from the well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Çağın Ararat , Jin Ma

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested experimentally for solving stochastic optimization problems in which the decision variables are constrained to satisfy equations defined by deterministic, smooth, and nonlinear functions. It is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Frank E. Curtis , Daniel P. Robinson , Baoyu Zhou

Existence of stochastic financial equilibria giving rise to semimartingale asset prices is established under a general class of assumptions. These equilibria are expressed in real terms and span complete markets or markets with withdrawal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gordan Zitkovic

We explore the asymptotic convergence and nonasymptotic maximal inequalities of supermartingales and backward submartingales in the space of positive semidefinite matrices. These are natural matrix analogs of scalar nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

Matrix determinants play an important role in data analysis, in particular when Gaussian processes are involved. Due to currently exploding data volumes, linear operations - matrices - acting on the data are often not accessible directly…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-08 Sebastian Dorn , Torsten A. Enßlin

For stochastic systems driven by continuous semimartingales an explicit formula for the logarithm of the Ito flow map is given. A similar formula is also obtained for solutions of linear matrix-valued SDEs driven by arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Kurusch Ebrahimi-Fard , Simon J. A. Malham , Frederic Patras , Anke Wiese

We derive the equations of celestial mechanics governing the variations of the orbital elements under a stochastic perturbation generalizing the classical Gauss equations. Explicit formulas are given for the semi-major axis, the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-04 Frédéric Pierret