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The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…
We construct planar semimartingales that include the Walsh Brownian motion as a special case, and derive Harrison-Shepp-type equations and a change-of-variable formula in the spirit of Freidlin-Sheu for these so-called "Walsh…
In this paper, we extend the results of Elliott and Yang \cite{elliott3} and discuss the control of a stochastic process for which the driving noise is provided by a martingale associated with a semi-Markov Chain. An existence and a…
The class of stochastic maps, that is, linear, trace-preserving, positive maps between the self-adjoint trace class operators of complex separable Hilbert spaces plays an important role in the representation of reversible dynamics and…
Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…
Martingales constitute a basic tool in stochastic analysis; this paper considers their application to counting processes. We use this tool to revisit a renewal theorem and its extensions for various counting processes. We first consider a…
Sequential quadratic optimization algorithms are proposed for solving smooth nonlinear optimization problems with equality constraints. The main focus is an algorithm proposed for the case when the constraint functions are deterministic,…
We give concentration bounds for martingales that are uniform over finite times and extend classical Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities. We also demonstrate our concentration bounds to be optimal with a matching anti-concentration…
The rates of strong convergence for various approximation schemes are investigated for a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) which involve a random time change given by an inverse subordinator. SDEs to be considered are unique…
The stochastic leverage effect, defined as the standardized covariation between the returns and their related volatility, is analyzed in a stochastic volatility model set-up. A novel estimator of the effect is defined using a pre-estimation…
The second-largest order statistic is of special importance in reliability theory since it represents the time to failure of a $2$-out-of-$n$ system. Consider two $2$-out-of-$n$ systems with heterogeneous random lifetimes. The lifetimes are…
Lecture notes for a master-level mathematics course on martingales and stochastic calculus, held at the University of Orl\'eans, France. With corrected exercises. Contents: Discrete-time martingales, stopping times, convergence theorems.…
In this note we introduce a new kind of augmentation of filtrations along a sequence of stopping times. This augmentation is suitable for the construction of new probability measures associated to a positive strict local martingale as done…
We consider specification and inference for the stochastic scale of discretely-observed pure-jump semimartingales with locally stable L\'{e}vy densities in the setting where both the time span of the data set increases, and the mesh of the…
We exhibit sufficient conditions such that components of a multidimensional SDE giving rise to a local martingale $M$ are strict local martingales or martingales. We assume that the equations have diffusion coefficients of the form…
Sequential Monte Carlo methods which involve sequential importance sampling and resampling are shown to provide a versatile approach to computing probabilities of rare events. By making use of martingale representations of the sequential…
Termination is one of the basic liveness properties, and we study the termination problem for probabilistic programs with real-valued variables. Previous works focused on the qualitative problem that asks whether an input program terminates…
We give conditions under which the normalized marginal distribution of a semimartingale converges to a Gaussian limit law as time tends to zero. In particular, our result is applicable to solutions of stochastic differential equations with…
We review the theory of martingales as applied to stochastic thermodynamics and stochastic processes in physics more generally.
In this paper, the weak convergence about the discretization error of stochastic iterated integrals in the Skorohod sense are studied, while the integrands and integrators of iterated integrals are supposed to be semimartingales with jumps.…