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We consider a model of selective prediction, where the prediction algorithm is given a data sequence in an online fashion and asked to predict a pre-specified statistic of the upcoming data points. The algorithm is allowed to choose when to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant

We consider a time-dependent version of a P\'olya urn containing black and white balls. At each time $n$ a ball is drawn from the urn at random and replaced in the urn along with $\sigma_n$ additional balls of the same colour. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-16 Nadia Sidorova

Balanced allocation of online balls-into-bins has long been an active area of research for efficient load balancing and hashing applications.There exists a large number of results in this domain for different settings, such as parallel…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-12-30 Sourav Dutta , Souvik Bhattacherjee , Ankur Narang

Multiple imputation is a popular imputation method for general purpose estimation. Rubin(1987) provided an easily applicable formula for the variance estimation of multiple imputation. However, the validity of the multiple imputation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

We discuss the evolution of purity in mixed quantum/classical approaches to electronic nonadiabatic dynamics in the context of the Ehrenfest model. As it is impossible to exactly determine initial conditions for a realistic system, we…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2012-09-07 J. L. Alonso , J. Clemente-Gallardo , J. C. Cuchí , P. Echenique , F. Falceto

Establishing cutoff, an abrupt transition from "not mixed" to "well mixed", is a classical topic in the theory of mixing times for Markov chains. Interest has grown recently in determining not only the existence of cutoff and the order of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Evita Nestoridi , Sam Olesker-Taylor

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

This paper proposes an analytical framework for modelling resource contention in multi-robot systems, where the travel times and task durations are uncertain. It uses several approximation methods to quickly and accurately calculate the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-03-17 Andrew W. Palmer , Andrew J. Hill , Steven J. Scheding

A highly accurate and efficient method to compute the expected values of the count, sum, and squared norm of the sum of the centre vectors of a random maximal sized collection of non-overlapping unit diameter disks touching a fixed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Markus Hegland , Conrad J. Burden , Zbigniew Stachurski

Consider an n by n array of cards shuffled in the following manner. An element x of the array is chosen uniformly at random; Then with probability 1/2 the rectangle of cards above and to the left of x is rotated 180 degrees, and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Consider a model of $N$ independent, increasing $\mathbb{N}_0$-valued processes, with random, independent waiting times between jumps. It is known that there is either an emergent `leader', in which a single process possesses the maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Johannes Bäumler , Tejas Iyer

We provide a relatively simple proof that the expected gap between the maximum load and the average load in the two choice process is bounded by $(1+o(1))\log \log n$, irrespective of the number of balls thrown. The theorem was first proven…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2013-10-22 Kunal Talwar , Udi Wieder

A variation of Rosenstock's trapping model in which $N$ independent random walkers are all initially placed upon a site of a one-dimensional lattice in the presence of a {\em one-sided} random distribution (with probability $c$) of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. B. Yuste , L. Acedo

The Ehrenfest time scale in quantum transport separates essentially classical propagation from wave interference and here we consider its effect on the transmission and reflection through quantum dots. In particular we calculate the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-03-17 Daniel Waltner , Jack Kuipers

We consider a two-color P\'{o}lya urn in the case when a fixed number $S$ of balls is added at each step. Assume it is a large urn that is, the second eigenvalue $m$ of the replacement matrix satisfies $1/2<m/S\leq1$. After $n$ drawings,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Brigitte Chauvin , Nicolas Pouyanne , Reda Sahnoun

The random walk to be considered takes place in the d- spherical dual of the group U(n + 1), for a fixed finite dimensional irreducible representation d of U(n). The transition matrix comes from the three term recursion relation satisfied…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-06 F. A. Grünbaum I. Pacharoni , J. Tirao

We present an algorithm for computing the so-called Beer-index of a polygon $P$ in $O(n^2)$ time, where $n$ is the number of corners. The polygon $P$ may have holes. The Beer-index is the probability that two points chosen independently and…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Mikkel Abrahamsen , Viktor Fredslund-Hansen

In the standard models for optimal multiple stopping problems it is assumed that between two exercises there is always a time period of deterministic length $\delta$, the so called refraction period. This prevents the optimal exercise times…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-17 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle , Stephan Jürgens

We consider the sequential allocation of $m$ balls (jobs) into $n$ bins (servers) by allowing each ball to choose from some bins sampled uniformly at random. The goal is to maintain a small gap between the maximum load and the average load.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Dimitrios Los , Thomas Sauerwald , John Sylvester

We consider a system of urns of Polya-type, with balls of two colors; the reinforcement of each urn depends both on the content of the same urn and on the average content of all urns. We show that the urns synchronize almost surely, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli