Limit distributions for large P\'{o}lya urns
Abstract
We consider a two-color P\'{o}lya urn in the case when a fixed number of balls is added at each step. Assume it is a large urn that is, the second eigenvalue of the replacement matrix satisfies . After drawings, the composition vector has asymptotically a first deterministic term of order and a second random term of order . The object of interest is the limit distribution of this random term. The method consists in embedding the discrete-time urn in continuous time, getting a two-type branching process. The dislocation equations associated with this process lead to a system of two differential equations satisfied by the Fourier transforms of the limit distributions. The resolution is carried out and it turns out that the Fourier transforms are explicitly related to Abelian integrals over the Fermat curve of degree . The limit laws appear to constitute a new family of probability densities supported by the whole real line.
Cite
@article{arxiv.0907.1477,
title = {Limit distributions for large P\'{o}lya urns},
author = {Brigitte Chauvin and Nicolas Pouyanne and Reda Sahnoun},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0907.1477},
year = {2010}
}
Comments
Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AAP696 the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)