Central Limit Theorem for a P\'olya-Friedman Mixed Urn Model
Abstract
This paper considers a two-color, single-draw urn model with two types of balls, denoted type and type , with initial counts and , respectively. At each discrete time step, a ball is drawn uniformly at random, its type observed, and then it is returned to the urn. The urn is subsequently updated according to a mixed replacement matrix: with fixed probability , the Friedman replacement matrix is applied, adding balls of the drawn type and balls of the opposite type; with fixed probability , the P\'olya replacement matrix is applied, adding balls of the drawn type. We establish the central limit theorem for the proportion of type balls after draws. Furthermore, we provide corollaries that yield large deviation inequalities and the law of the iterated logarithm related to the proportion of type balls after draws.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2605.26669,
title = {Central Limit Theorem for a P\'olya-Friedman Mixed Urn Model},
author = {Jianan Shi and Qing Yin and Yu Miao},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.26669},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
21 pages, 0 figures