English

Gaussian fluctuations for the two urn model

Probability 2024-08-13 v2 Spectral Theory

Abstract

We introduce a modification of the generalized P\'olya urn model containing two urns and we study the number of balls Bj(n)B_j(n) of a given color j{1,,J}j\in\{1,\ldots,J\}, JNJ\in\mathbb{N} added to the urns after nn draws. We provide sufficient conditions under which the random variables (Bj(n))nN(B_j(n))_{n\in\mathbb{N}} properly normalized and centered converge weakly to a limiting random variable. The result reveals a similar trichotomy as in the classical case with one urn, one of the main differences being that in the scaling we encounter 1-periodic continuous functions. Another difference in our results compared to the classical urn models is that the phase transition of the second order behavior occurs at ρ\sqrt{\rho} and not at ρ/2\rho/2, where ρ\rho is the dominant eigenvalue of the mean replacement matrix.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2301.08602,
  title  = {Gaussian fluctuations for the two urn model},
  author = {Konrad Kolesko and Ecaterina Sava-Huss},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2301.08602},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

to appear in Advances in Applied Probability (2024)

R2 v1 2026-06-28T08:16:14.374Z