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This paper provides sufficient conditions for the time of bankruptcy (of a company or a state) for being a totally inaccessible stopping time and provides the explicit computation of its compensator in a framework where the flow of market…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Matteo Ludovico Bedini , Rainer Buckdahn , Hans-Jürgen Engelbert

The main purpose of this paper is to extend the information-based asset-pricing framework of Brody-Hughston-Macrina to a more general set-up. We include a wider class of models for market information and in contrast to the original paper,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Mohamed Erraoui , Astrid Hilbert , Mohammed Louriki

We consider an approach to credit risk in which the information about the time of bankruptcy is modelled using a Brownian bridge that starts at zero and is conditioned to equal zero when the default occurs. This raises the question whether…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Matteo L. Bedini , Michael Hinz

In this paper, we introduce an extension of a Brownian bridge with a random length by including uncertainty also in the pinning level of the bridge. The main result of this work is that unlike for deterministic pinning point, the bridge…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Mohammed Louriki

We extend the information-based asset-pricing framework by Brody, Hughston \& Macrina to incorporate a stochastic bankruptcy time for the writer of the asset. Our model introduces a non-defaultable cash flow $Z_T$ to be made at time $T$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Mohammed Louriki

We model continuous-time information flows generated by a number of information sources that switch on and off at random times. By modulating a multi-dimensional L\'evy random bridge over a random point field, our framework relates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Edward Hoyle , Andrea Macrina , Levent A. Mengütürk

The model consists of a signal process $X$ which is a general Brownian diffusion process and an observation process $Y$, also a diffusion process, which is supposed to be correlated to the signal process. We suppose that the process $Y$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Christophe Pofeta , Abass Sagna

The scope of this paper is to study the optimal stopping problems associated to a stochastic process, which may represent the gain of an investment, for which information on the final value is available a priori. This information may…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Bernardo D'Auria , Alessandro Ferriero

This paper studies an optimal trading problem that incorporates the trader's market view on the terminal asset price distribution and uninformative noise embedded in the asset price dynamics. We model the underlying asset price evolution by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-07 Tim Leung , Jiao Li , Xin Li

Motivated by the interplay between structural and reduced form credit models, we propose to model the firm value process as a time-changed Brownian motion that may include jumps and stochastic volatility effects, and to study the first…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-16 T. R. Hurd

Fractional Brownian motion is a self-affine, non-Markovian and translationally invariant generalization of Brownian motion, depending on the Hurst exponent $H$. Here we investigate fractional Brownian motion where both the starting and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

The information-based asset-pricing framework of Brody, Hughston and Macrina (BHM) is extended to include a wider class of models for market information. In the BHM framework, each asset is associated with a collection of random cash flows.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-22 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

In this paper, we study a continuous time structural asset value model for two correlated firms using a two-dimensional Brownian motion. We consider the situation of incomplete information, where the information set available to the market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-28 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Harry Zheng

We consider the problem of optimally stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning time so as to maximise the value of the process upon stopping. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we assume the stopper has a general continuous prior and is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Kristoffer Glover

Motivated by the Brownian bridge on random interval considered by Bedini et al \cite{BBE}, we introduce and study Gaussian bridges with random length with special emphasis to the Markov property. We prove that if the starting process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Mohamed Erraoui , Mohammed Louriki

In a recent article, Krapivsky and Redner (J. Stat. Mech. 093208 (2018)) established that the distribution of the first hitting times for a diffusing particle subject to hitting an absorber is independent of the direction of the external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Coline Larmier , Alain Mazzolo , Andrea Zoia

The probability distribution of the longest interval between two zeros of a simple random walk starting and ending at the origin, and of its continuum limit, the Brownian bridge, was analysed in the past by Ros\'en and Wendel, then extended…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-06-14 Claude Godrèche

Given a deterministically time-changed Brownian motion $Z$ starting from 1, whose time-change $V(t)$ satisfies $V(t) > t$ for all $t > 0$, we perform an explicit construction of a process $X$ which is Brownian motion in its own filtration…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-01 Luciano Campi , Umut Çetin , Albina Danilova

In financial markets, the information that traders have about an asset is reflected in its price. The arrival of new information then leads to price changes. The `information-based framework' of Brody, Hughston and Macrina (BHM) isolates…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou
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