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We model an epidemic where the per-person infectiousness in a network of geographic localities changes with the total number of active cases. This would happen as people adopt more stringent non-pharmaceutical precautions when the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Akhil Bhimaraju , Avhishek Chatterjee , Lav R. Varshney

We study a system of random walks, known as the frog model, starting from a profile of independent Poisson($\lambda$) particles per site, with one additional active particle planted at some vertex $\mathbf{o}$ of a finite connected simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Itai Benjamini , Luiz Renato Fontes , Jonathan Hermon , Fabio Prates Machado

We study a random fragmentation process and its associated random tree. The process has earlier been studied by Dean and Majumdar (J. Phys. A: Math. Gen., vol. 35, L501--L507), who found a phase transition: the number of fragmentations is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S. Janson , R. Neininger

One model of real-life spreading processes is First Passage Percolation (also called SI model) on random graphs. Social interactions often follow bursty patterns, which are usually modelled with i.i.d.~heavy-tailed passage times on edges.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Alexey Medvedev , Gábor Pete

This paper gives a new, simple proof of the known fact that for contact processes on general lattices, in the subcritical regime the expected number of infected sites decays exponentially fast as time tends to infinity. The proof also…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Jan M. Swart

We performed Monte Carlo simulations of the symbiotic contact process on different spatial dimensions ($d$). On the complete and random graphs (infinite dimension), we observe hysteresis cycles and bistable regions, what is consistent with…

Let $T$ be the extinction moment of a critical branching process $Z=(Z_{n},n\geq 0) $ in a random environment specified by iid probability generating functions. We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability of extinction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-08 V. A. Vatutin V. Wachtel

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

The asymptotic shape theorem for the contact process in random environment gives the existence of a norm $\mu$ on $\Rd$ such that the hitting time $t(x)$ is asymptotically equivalent to $\mu(x)$ when the contact process survives. We provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Olivier Garet , Régine Marchand

We introduce and study the mutating contact process, a variant of the multitype contact process, where one type mutates at a constant rate to the other type. We prove that on $\mathbb{Z}$ a single mutant cannot survive while on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Idan Alter , Gideon Amir

In this paper we are concerned with the Susceptible-Infective-Removed model with random transition rates on complete graphs $C_n$ with $n$ vertices. We assign i. i. d. copies of a positive random variable $\xi$ on each vertex as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Xiaofeng Xue

For a random walk $S_n$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ we study the asymptotic behaviour of the associated centre of mass process $G_n = n^{-1} \sum_{i=1}^n S_i$. For lattice distributions we give conditions for a local limit theorem to hold. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Chak Hei Lo , Andrew R. Wade

Analytical results are presented for the structure of networks that evolve via a preferential-attachment-random-deletion (PARD) model in the regime of overall network growth and in the regime of overall contraction. The phase transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-13 Barak Budnick , Ofer Biham , Eytan Katzav

We consider an interacting particle process on a graph which, from a macroscopic point of view, looks like $\Z^d$ and, at a microscopic level, is a complete graph of degree $N$ (called a patch). There are two birth rates: an inter-patch one…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Lamia Belhadji , Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

We analyze variants of the contact process that are built by modifying the percolative structure given by the graphical construction and develop a robust renormalization argument for proving extinction in such models. With this method, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Marcelo Hilário , Daniel Ungaretti , Daniel Valesin , Maria Eulália Vares

In this paper we introduce a contact process in an evolving random environment (CPERE) on a connected and transitive graph with bounded degree, where we assume that this environment is described through an ergodic spin systems with finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

The phase transition of the one-dimensional, diffusive pair contact process (PCPD) is investigated by N cluster mean-field approximations and high precision simulations. The N=3,4 cluster approximations exhibit smooth transition line to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Geza Odor

We study the phase transition phenomena for long-range oriented percolation and contact process. We studied a contact process in which the range of each vertex are independent, updated dynamically and given by some distribution $N$. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Pablo A. Gomes , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

We consider a model for random hypergraphs with identifiability, an analogue of connectedness. This model has a phase transition in the proportion of identifiable vertices when the underlying random graph becomes critical. The phase…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christina Goldschmidt