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Let $(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n$ if $i\leq n\theta$ and $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n$ if $i>n\theta$, where $0<\theta <1$ is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Samir Ben Hariz , Jonathan J. Wylie , Qiang Zhang

The inspection of residuals is a fundamental step to investigate the quality of adjustment of a parametric model to data. For spatial point processes, the concept of residuals has been recently proposed by Baddeley et al. (2005) as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

We consider properties of determinants of some random symmetric matrices issued from multivariate statistics: Wishart/Laguerre ensemble (sample covariance matrices), Uniform Gram ensemble (sample correlation matrices) and Jacobi ensemble…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-30 Alain Rouault

This paper analyzes the limit properties of the empirical process of $\alpha$-stable random variables with long range dependence. The $\alpha$-stable random variables are constructed by non-linear transformations of bivariate sequences of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Emanuele Taufer

We study dynamical reversibility in stationary stochastic processes from an information theoretic perspective. Extending earlier work on the reversibility of Markov chains, we focus on finitary processes with arbitrarily long conditional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , Ryan G. James , James P. Crutchfield , Joerg Reichardt

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Richard A. Davis , Heng Liu

Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time--continuous point processes with history dependence. Here we propose an extended model where the self--effects are of both excitatory and inhibitory type and follow a Gaussian Process.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-21 Noa Malem-Shinitski , Cesar Ojeda , Manfred Opper

We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process in which the coefficients are of the form $a_i=i^{-1}\ell(i)$ with $\ell$ being a slowly varying function at the infinity and the innovations are independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Fangjun Xu

We study the $\beta$ analogue of the nonintersecting Poisson random walks. We derive a stochastic differential equation of the Stieltjes transform of the empirical measure process, which can be viewed as a dynamical version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Jiaoyang Huang

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Hanna Gruber , Moritz Jirak

We consider the perturbed Mann's iterative process \begin{equation} x_{n+1}=(1-\theta_n)x_n+\theta_n f(x_n)+r_n, \end{equation} where $f:[0,1]\rightarrow[0,1]$ is a continuous function, $\{\theta_n\}\in [0,1]$ is a given sequence, and…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Ramzi May

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu

Based on empirical evidence of fast mean-reverting spikes, we model electricity price processes $X+Z^\beta$ as the sum of a continuous It\^o semimartingale $X$ and a a mean-reverting compound Poisson process $Z_t^\beta = \int_0^t…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Deschatre Thomas , Féron Olivier , Hoffmann Marc

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of random-coefficient AR(1) process driven by i.i.d. innovations in the domain of normal attraction of an $\alpha$-stable distribution, $0< \alpha \le 2$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Viktor Skorniakov , Donatas Surgailis

We study the sequential empirical process indexed by general function classes and its smoothed set-indexed analogue. Sufficient conditions for asymptotic equicontinuity are provided for nonstationary arrays of time series. This yields…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Florian Alexander Scholze , Ansgar Steland

This work deals with a system of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where each process $X^j=(X_{n,j})_n$ is located at a vertex $j$ of a finite weighted direct graph, and it can be interpreted as the sequence of "actions" adopted…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar