Related papers: Marked empirical processes for non-stationary time…
When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…
Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent centered stationary Gaussian processes with unit variance and almost surely continuous sample paths. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of conjunctions $C_{[0,T],u}:=\{t\in…
This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…
Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…
The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…
A classical random walk $(S_t, t\in\mathbb{N})$ is defined by $S_t:=\displaystyle\sum_{n=0}^t X_n$, where $(X_n)$ are i.i.d. When the increments $(X_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ are a one-order Markov chain, a short memory is introduced in the…
Consider an autoregressive model with measurement error: we observe $Z_i=X_i+\epsilon_i$, where $X_i$ is a stationary solution of the equation $X_i=f_{\theta^0}(X_{i-1})+\xi_i$. The regression function $f_{\theta^0}$ is known up to a finite…
Stochastic resetting breaks detailed balance and drives the formation of nonequilibrium steady states . Here, we consider a chain of diffusive processes $x_i(t)$ that interact unilaterally: at random time intervals, the process $x_n$…
In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…
We study two empirical process of special structure: firstly, the centred multiplier process indexed by a class $F$, $f \to \left|\sum_{i=1}^N (\xi_i f(X_i) - \E \xi f)\right|$, where the i.i.d. multipliers $(\xi_i)_{i=1}^N$ need not be…
For a zero-mean, unit-variance second-order stationary univariate Gaussian process we derive the probability that a record at the time $n$, say $X_n$, takes place and derive its distribution function. We study the joint distribution of the…
This paper develops a general concentration inequality for the suprema of empirical processes with dependent data. The concentration inequality is obtained by combining generic chaining with a coupling-based strategy. Our framework…
The telegraph process $\{X(t), t>0\}$, is supposed to be observed at $n+1$ equidistant time points $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,..., n$. The unknown value of $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the Poisson process, is a parameter to be estimated. The…
We study weak convergence of empirical processes of dependent data $(X_i)_{i\geq0}$, indexed by classes of functions. Our results are especially suitable for data arising from dynamical systems and Markov chains, where the central limit…
A functional limit theorem for the partial maxima of a long memory stable sequence produces a limiting process that can be described as a $\beta$-power time change in the classical Fr\'echet extremal process, for $\beta$ in a subinterval of…
Inspired by a recent paper of I. Grama, E. Le Page and M. Peign\'e, we consider a sequence $(g_n)_{n \geq 1}$ of i.i.d. random $d\times d$-matrices with non-negative entries and study the fluctuations of the process $(\log \vert g_n\cdots…
Let $F$ be a class of functions on a probability space $(\Omega,\mu)$ and let $X_1,...,X_k$ be independent random variables distributed according to $\mu$. We establish high probability tail estimates of the form $\sup_{f \in F} |\{i :…
Statistically self-similar measures on $[0,1]$ are limit of multiplicative cascades of random weights distributed on the $b$-adic subintervals of $[0,1]$. These weights are i.i.d, positive, and of expectation $1/b$. We extend these cascades…
A weighted U-statistic based on a random sample X_1,...,X_n has the form U_n=\sum_{1\le i,j\le n}w_{i-j}K(X_i,X_j), where K is a fixed symmetric measurable function and the w_i are symmetric weights. A large class of statistics can be…
Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…