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In the present paper, we consider the linear autoregressive model in $\rr$, $$ X_{k,n}=\theta_n X_{k,n-1}+\xi_k, k=0,1,...,n, n\ge 1$$ where $\theta_n\in [0,1)$ is unknown, $(\xi_k)_{k\in\zz}$ is a sequence of centered i.i.d. r.v. valued in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-18 Yu Miao , Yanling Wang , Guangyu Yang

There is a unique unitarily-invariant ensemble of $N\times N$ Hermitian matrices with a fixed set of real eigenvalues $a_1 > \dots > a_N$. The joint eigenvalue distribution of the $(N - 1)$ top-left principal submatrices of a random matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Cesar Cuenca

We consider an autoregressive model on $\mathbb{R}$ defined by the recurrence equation $X_n=A_nX_{n-1}+B_n$, where $\{(B_n,A_n)\}$ are i.i.d. random variables valued in $\mathbb{R}\times\mathbb{R}^+$ and $\mathbb {E}[\log A_1]=0$ (critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-25 Dariusz Buraczewski

Given a large number of covariates $Z$, we consider the estimation of a high-dimensional parameter $\theta$ in an individualized linear threshold $\theta^T Z$ for a continuous variable $X$, which minimizes the disagreement between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Huijie Feng , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao

Consider the following local empirical process indexed by $K\in \mathcal{G}$, for fixed $h>0$ and $z\in \mathbb{R}^d$: $$G_n(K,h,z):=\sum_{i=1}^n K \Bigl(\frac{Z_i-z}{h^{1/d}}\Big) - \mathbbE \Bigl(K \Bigl(\frac{Z_i-z}{h^{1/d}}\Big)\Big),$$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-13 Davit Varron

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the marginal density in some nonlinear autoregressive time series models for which the conditional mean and variance have a parametric specification. Under some regularity conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Lionel Truquet

We consider the problem of sequentially testing for changes in the mean parameter of a time series, compared to a benchmark period. Most tests in the literature focus on the null hypothesis of a constant mean versus the alternative of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta , Rupsa Basu , Holger Dette

Stochastic processes that are randomly reset to an initial condition serve as a showcase to investigate non-equilibrium steady states. However, all existing results have been restricted to the special case of memoryless resetting protocols.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Stephan Eule , Jakob Metzger

We study the eigenvalue trajectories of a time dependent matrix $ G_t = H+i t vv^*$ for $t \geq 0$, where $H$ is an $N \times N$ Hermitian random matrix and $v$ is a unit vector. In particular, we establish that with high probability, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Guillaume Dubach , László Erdős

We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

This paper provides conditions under which a non-stationary copula-based Markov process is $\beta$-mixing. We introduce, as a particular case, a convolution-based gaussian Markov process which generalizes the standard random walk allowing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-06 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

We investigate the randomized Karlin model with parameter $\beta\in(0,1)$, which is based on an infinite urn scheme. It has been shown before that when the randomization is bounded, the so-called odd-occupancy process scales to a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Olivier Durieu , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

We call a point process $Z$ on $\mathbb R$ \emph{exp-1-stable} if for every $\alpha,\beta\in\mathbb R$ with $e^\alpha+e^\beta=1$, $Z$ is equal in law to $T_\alpha Z+T_\beta Z'$, where $Z'$ is an independent copy of $Z$ and $T_x$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Pascal Maillard

We consider a system of diffusing particles on the real line in a quadratic external potential and with repulsive electrostatic interaction. The empirical measure process is known to converge weakly to a deterministic measure-valued process…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Martin Bender

Assume a finite set of complex random variables form a determinantal point process, we obtain a theorem on the limit of the empirical distribution of these random variables. The result is applied to %We study the limits of the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Tiefeng Jiang , Yongcheng Qi

Let $(Z_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be an independent, identically distributed sequence of random variables on $\RRR^d$. Under mild conditions on the density of $Z_1$, we provide a nonstandard uniform functional limit law for the following processes on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-27 Davit Varron

We study the asymptotic behaviour of Markov chains $(X_n,\eta_n)$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+ \times S$, where $\mathbb{Z}_+$ is the non-negative integers and $S$ is a finite set. Neither coordinate is assumed to be Markov. We assume a moments bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Nicholas Georgiou , Andrew R. Wade

In this paper, we are interested in the asymptotic behaviour of the sequence of processes $(W_n(s,t))_{s,t\in[0,1]}$ with \begin{equation*} W_n(s,t):=\sum_{k=1}^{\lfloor nt\rfloor}\big(1_{\{\xi_{S_k}\leq s\}}-s\big) \end{equation*} where…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Francoise Pene , Martin Wendler

Suppose that $X=(X_{t})_{t\ge 0}$ is either a general supercritical non-local branching Markov process, or a general supercritical non-local superprocess, on a Luzin space. Here, by ``supercritical" we mean that the mean semigroup of $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Haojie Hou , Ting Yang

We present a very general chaining method which allows one to control the supremum of the empirical process $\sup_{h \in H} |N^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^N h^2(X_i)-\E h^2|$ in rather general situations. We use this method to establish two main…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-22 Shahar Mendelson , Grigoris Paouris
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