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Let $X_{1},X_{2},...$ be a sequence of independent copies (s.i.c) of a real random variable (r.v.) $X\geq 1$, with distribution function $df$ $F(x)=\mathbb{P}% (X\leq x)$ and let $X_{1,n}\leq X_{2,n} \leq ... \leq X_{n,n}$ be the order…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-22 Gane Samb Lo , El Hadji Deme , Aliou Diop

We introduce a symmetric tridiagonal matrix-valued process ($\beta$-TMP) $H(t)$ whose diagonal entries $H_{k,k}(t)$ evolve independently via an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process starting at the origin and the off-diagonal entries $H_{k,k+1}(t)$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-27 Gernot Akemann , Satya N. Majumdar , Patricia Päßler

In this paper, we study a discrete-time analogue of a Hawkes process, modelled as a Poisson autoregressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. The model is characterized to allow these parameters to take negative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

Considering a general framework of bootstrap with exchangeable weights, we show some concentration inequalities for the supremum of the bootstrap empirical process. On the one hand, we discuss the concentration of the bootstrap empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Guillaume Maillard , Adrien Saumard

We study Markov chains formed by squared singular values of products of truncated orthogonal, unitary, symplectic matrices (corresponding to the Dyson index $\beta = 1,2,4$ respectively) where time corresponds to the number of terms in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Andrew Ahn

Consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with an ergodic probability measure $\pi$. Let $\Psi$ a function on the state space of the chain, with $\alpha$-tails with respect to $\pi$, $\alpha\in (0,2)$. We find sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski , Stefano Olla

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Suppose a process yields independent observations whose distributions belong to a family parameterized by \theta\in\Theta. When the process is in control, the observations are i.i.d. with a known parameter value \theta_0. When the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gary Lorden , Moshe Pollak

We consider the asymmetric random average process which is a one-dimensional stochastic lattice model with nearest neighbour interaction but continuous and unbounded state variables. First, the explicit functional representations, so-called…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Frank Zielen , Andreas Schadschneider

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

For the partial sums $(S_n)$ of independent random variables we define a stochastic process $s_n(t):=(1/d_n)\sum_{k \le [nt]} ({S_k}/{k}-\mu)$ and prove that $$(1/{\log N})\sum_{n\le N}(1/n)\mathbf {I}\left\{s_n(t)\le x\right\} \to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Khurelbaatar Gonchigdanzan , Kamil Marcin Kosiński

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

We study the harmonic moments of Galton-Watson processes, possibly non homogeneous, with positive values. Good estimates of these are needed to compute unbiased estimators for non canonical branching Markov processes, which occur, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Didier Piau

This paper is concerned with combined inference for point processes on the real line observed in a broken interval. For such processes, the classic history-based approach cannot be used. Instead, we adapt tools from sequential spatial point…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 M. N. M. van Lieshout

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

In this paper we estimate both the Hurst and the stable indices of a H-self-similar stable process. More precisely, let $X$ be a $H$-sssi (self-similar stationary increments) symmetric $\alpha$-stable process. The process $X$ is observed at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-19 Thi To Nhu Dang , Jacques Istas

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

Modelling and forecasting the occurrence of extreme events is especially difficult when the event process is nonstationary, with changes in both the rate at which extremes occur and the magnitude of the extremes when they occur. We approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Gordon J. Ross , Dean Markwick

The objective of this paper is to establish a general asymptotic representation (\textit{GAR}) for a wide range of statistics, employing two fundamental processes: the functional empirical process (\textit{fep}) and the residual functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Gane Samb Lo , Tchilabalo Abozou Kpanzou , Gandasor Bonyiri Onesiphore Da