Related papers: Marked empirical processes for non-stationary time…

We consider an integer-valued time series $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in\Z}$ where the models after a time $k^*$ is Poisson autoregressive with the conditional mean that depends on a parameter $\theta^*\in\Theta\subset\R^d$. The structure of the process…

Let $\mathcal X=\{\mathcal X_t:\, t\geq0,\, \mathcal X_0=0\}$ be a mean zero $\beta$-stable random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ with inhomogeneous jump rates $\{\tau_i^{-1}: i\in\mathbb{Z}\}$, with $\beta\in(1,2]$ and $\{\tau_i: i\in\mathbb{Z}\}$ a…

Self-normalized processes are basic to many probabilistic and statistical studies. They arise naturally in the the study of stochastic integrals, martingale inequalities and limit theorems, likelihood-based methods in hypothesis testing and…

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the…

We consider the point process \begin{align*} \frac{1}{Z_{n}}\prod_{1 \leq j < k \leq n} |e^{i\theta_{j}}-e^{-i\theta_{k}}|^{\beta}\prod_{j=1}^{n} d\theta_{j}, \qquad \theta_{1},\ldots,\theta_{n} \in (-\pi,\pi], \quad \beta > 0, \end{align*}…

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

This paper considers the problem of testing if a sequence of means $(\mu_t)_{t =1,\ldots ,n }$ of a non-stationary time series $(X_t)_{t =1,\ldots ,n }$ is stable in the sense that the difference of the means $\mu_1$ and $\mu_t$ between the…

Spatial unilateral autoregressive model $X_{k,\ell}=\alpha X_{k-1,\ell}+\beta X_{k,\ell-1}+\gamma X_{k-1,\ell-1}+\epsilon_{k,\ell}$ is investigated in the unit root case, that is when the parameters are on the boundary of the domain of…

We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…

We investigate joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of N independent copies of strictly stationary INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $\alpha\in(0,1)$ and with idiosyncratic…

Starting from the overdamped Langevin dynamics in $\mathbb{R}^n$, $$ dX_t = -\nabla V(X_t) dt + \sqrt{2 \beta^{-1}} dW_t, $$ we consider a scalar Markov process $\xi_t$ which approximates the dynamics of the first component $X^1_t$. In the…

Empirical likelihood approach is one of non-parametric statistical methods, which is applied to the hypothesis testing or construction of confidence regions for pivotal unknown quantities. This method has been applied to the case of…

The paper deals with the fast-slow motions setups in the discrete time $X^\epsilon((n+1)\epsilon)=X^\epsilon(n\epsilon)+\epsilon B(X^\epsilon(n\epsilon),\xi(n))$, $n=0,1,...,[T/\epsilon]$ and the continuous time $\frac…

We consider an empirical process based upon ratio of selected pair of the non-overlapping $m$-spacings generated by independent samples of arbitrary sizes. As a main result, we show that when both samples are uniformly distributed on…

We study sequences $(x_n)_{n=1}^{\infty}$ of reals given by $x_{n+1} = f(x)$ where $$f(x) = x - \sum_{i=1}^{m} \frac{\alpha_i}{x - \beta_i},$$ where $\alpha_1, \dots, \alpha_m \in \mathbb{R}_{>0}$ and $\beta_1, \dots, \beta_m \in…

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Let $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a known process and $T$ an unknown random time independent of $X$. Our goal is to derive the distribution of $T$ based on an iid sample of $X_T$. Belomestny and Schoenmakers (2015) propose a solution based the…

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…