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The Wald development of statistical decision theory addresses decision making with sample data. Wald's concept of a statistical decision function (SDF) embraces all mappings of the form [data -> decision]. An SDF need not perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-17 Charles F. Manski

A new method based on the rejection sampling for finding statistical tests is proposed. This method is conceptually intuitive, easy to implement, and applicable for arbitrary dimension. To illustrate its potential applicability, three…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Markku Kuismin

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

In testing of hypothesis the robustness of the tests is an important concern. Generally, the maximum likelihood based tests are most efficient under standard regularity conditions, but they are highly non-robust even under small deviations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

A factor model with a break in its factor loadings is observationally equivalent to a model without changes in the loadings but a change in the variance of its factors. This effectively transforms a structural change problem of high…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-06 Jushan Bai , Jiangtao Duan , Xu Han

The Wald test statistic has been shown to diverge (Dufour et al, 2013, 2017) under some conditions. This note links the divergence to eigenvalues of a polynomial matrix and establishes the divergence rate.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Jean-Marie Dufour , Eric Renault , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

A new approach to adaptive design of clinical trials is proposed in a general multiparameter exponential family setting, based on generalized likelihood ratio statistics and optimal sequential testing theory. These designs are easy to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

We consider importance sampling for estimating the probability that a light-tailed $d$-dimensional random walk exits through one of many disjoint rare-event regions before reaching an anticipated target. This problem arises in sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

This study presents a new procedure for necessary tests of multivariate normality based on the uniform distribution on the Stiefel manifold. We demonstrate that the test statistic, which is formed by the product of the scaled residual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Koki Shimizu , Toshiya Iwashita

This paper presents a new methodology for generating continuous statistical distributions, integrating the exponentiated odds ratio within the framework of survival analysis. This new method enhances the flexibility and adaptability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Xinyu Chen , Yuanqi Xie , Achraf Cohen , Shusen Pu

Conformal testing is a way of testing the IID assumption based on conformal prediction. The topic of this note is computational evaluation of the performance of conformal testing in a model situation in which IID binary observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Vladimir Vovk

This paper studies the problem of sequential Gaussian shift-in-mean hypothesis testing in a distributed multi-agent network. A sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) type algorithm in a distributed framework of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar

In this paper, using inverse integral transforms, we derive the exact distribution of the random variable $X$ that is involved in the ratio $Z \stackrel{d}{=} X/(X+Y)$ where $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables having the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-14 Roberto Vila , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Marcelo Bourguignon

We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-05 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

The distribution function of a random distance in three dimensions is given and some new three-dimensional d2-tests of randomness are suggested. We show that our test statistics are not correlated with the usual test statistics and are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-24 Sergii Koliada

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah

This work revisits optimal response-adaptive designs from a type-I error rate perspective, highlighting when and how much these allocations exacerbate type-I error rate inflation - an issue previously undocumented. We explore a range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar , William F. Rosenberger

Testing intersections of null-hypotheses is an integral part of closed testing procedures for assessing multiple null-hypotheses under family-wise type 1 error control. Popular intersection tests such as the minimum p-value test are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Christian Bressen Pipper , Andreas Nordland , Klaus Kähler Holst

The comparison of proportions is considered in the asymptotic generalized linear model with the odds ratio as effect size. When several doses are compared with a control assuming an order restriction, a Williams-type trend test can be used.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-30 Ludwig A. Hothorn

Regression quantiles have asymptotic variances that depend on the conditional densities of the response variable given regressors. This paper develops a new estimate of the asymptotic variance of regression quantiles that leads any…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-27 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Chuan Goh