English

Conformal testing in a binary model situation

Machine Learning 2021-04-06 v1 Methodology

Abstract

Conformal testing is a way of testing the IID assumption based on conformal prediction. The topic of this note is computational evaluation of the performance of conformal testing in a model situation in which IID binary observations generated from a Bernoulli distribution are followed by IID binary observations generated from another Bernoulli distribution, with the parameters of the distributions and changepoint unknown. Existing conformal test martingales can be used for this task and work well in simple cases, but their efficiency can be improved greatly.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2104.01885,
  title  = {Conformal testing in a binary model situation},
  author = {Vladimir Vovk},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.01885},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

8 pages, 5 figures