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Conformal e-prediction in the presence of confounding

Statistics Theory 2026-03-13 v1 Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

This note extends conformal e-prediction to cover the case where there is observed confounding between the random object XX and its label YY. We consider both the case where the observed data is IID and a case where some dependence between observations is permitted.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.11134,
  title  = {Conformal e-prediction in the presence of confounding},
  author = {Vladimir Vovk and Ruodu Wang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.11134},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

8 pages, 2 figures