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Researchers faced with a sequence of candidate model specifications must often choose the best specification that does not violate a testable identification assumption. One option in this scenario is sequential specification tests:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Adam C. Sales

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-01 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

We study the accuracy of a scaled Poisson approximation to the weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, focusing on in particular the relative error of the tail distribution. A bound on the relative approximation error is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Yue Tan , Yingdong Lu , Cathy Xia

Econometricians have usefully separated study of estimation into identification and statistical components. Identification analysis, which assumes knowledge of the probability distribution generating observable data, places an upper bound…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Charles F. Manski

In large scale genetic association studies, a primary aim is to test for association between genetic variants and a disease outcome. The variants of interest are often rare, and appear with low frequency among subjects. In this situation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Arjun Sondhi , Kenneth Martin Rice

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

Isotropic $\alpha$-stable distributions are central in the theory of heavy-tailed distributions and play a role similar to that of the Gaussian density among finite second-moment laws. Given a sequence of $n$ observations, we are interested…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Jihad Fahs , Ibrahim Abou-Faycal , Ibrahim Issa

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

In policy learning, the goal is typically to optimize a primary performance metric, but other subsidiary metrics often also warrant attention. This paper presents two strategies for evaluating these subsidiary metrics under a policy that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Zhaoqi Li , Houssam Nassif , Alex Luedtke

G-computation has become a widely used robust method for estimating unconditional (marginal) treatment effects with covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized clinical trials. Statistical inference in this context typically relies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Xin Zhang , Haitao Chu , Lin Liu , Satrajit Roychoudhury

The complexity underlying real-world systems implies that standard statistical hypothesis testing methods may not be adequate for these peculiar applications. Specifically, we show that the likelihood-ratio test's null-distribution needs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Giona Casiraghi

This paper revisits the classical problem of determining the bias of a weighted coin, where the bias is known to be either $p = 1/2 + \varepsilon$ or $p = 1/2 - \varepsilon$, while minimizing the expected number of coin tosses and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Chirag Pabbaraju , Gregory Valiant , Rishi Verma

In this paper, we propose a general method for testing composite hypotheses. Our idea is to use confidence limits to define stopping and decision rules. The requirements of operating characteristic function can be satisfied by adjusting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Xinjia Chen

Detection of the number of signals corrupted by high-dimensional noise is a fundamental problem in signal processing and statistics. This paper focuses on a general setting where the high-dimensional noise has an unknown complicated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Xiucai Ding , Fan Yang

Given samples from two non-negative random variables, we propose a family of tests for the null hypothesis that one random variable stochastically dominates the other at the second order. Test statistics are obtained as functionals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Tommaso Lando , Sirio Legramanti

We consider sequential hypothesis testing between two quantum states using adaptive and non-adaptive strategies. In this setting, samples of an unknown state are requested sequentially and a decision to either continue or to accept one of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-07 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Marco Tomamichel

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

This paper investigates a statistical procedure for testing the equality of two independent estimated covariance matrices when the number of potentially dependent data vectors is large and proportional to the size of the vectors, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Rémy Mariétan , Stephan Morgenthaler

We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-26 Igor Volobouev , A. Alexandre Trindade
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