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In dimensions $d\geq 4$, by choosing a suitable scaling parameter, we show that the rescaled spatial SIR epidemic process converges to a super-Brownian motion with drift, thus complementing the previous results by Lalley (Probab. Theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Jieliang Hong

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model of the spread of an endemic infection. We calculate an exact expression for the mean number of transmissions for all values of the population and the infectivity. We derive the large-N…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-20 David A. Kessler

In the recent COVID-19 pandemic we assisted at a sequence of epidemic waves intertwined by anomalous fade-outs with periods of low but persistent epidemic prevalence. These long-living epidemic states complicate epidemic control and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-27 Javier Aguilar , Beatriz Arregui García , Raúl Toral , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

How to prevent the spread of human diseases is a great challenge for the scientific community and so far there are many studies in which immunization strategies have been developed. However, these kind of strategies usually do not consider…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-22 M. A. Di Muro , L. G. Alvarez-Zuzek , S. Havlin , L. A. Braunstein

In this work, we have employed Monte Carlo calculations to study the Ising model on a 2D additive small-world network with long-range interactions depending on the geometric distance between interacting sites. The network is initially…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 R. A. Dumer , M. Godoy

The aim of the study was to compare the epidemic spread on static and dynamic small-world networks. The network was constructed as a 2-dimensional Watts-Strogatz model (500x500 square lattice with additional shortcuts), and the dynamics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-28 J. K. Ochab , P. F. Góra

We study the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on directed complex networks within the quenched mean-field approximation. Combining results from random matrix theory with an analytic approach to the distribution of fixed-point…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Vinícius B. Müller , Fernando L. Metz

Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Ari S. Freedman , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximillian M. Nguyen , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Simon A. Levin

We study extensions of the classical SIR model of epidemic spread. First, we consider a single population modified SIR epidemics model in which the contact rate is allowed to be an arbitrary function of the fraction of susceptible and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Martina Alutto , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Whether it be physical, biological or social processes, complex systems exhibit dynamics that are exceedingly difficult to understand or predict from underlying principles. Here we report a striking correspondence between the collective…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2021-05-19 T. M. Wintermantel , M. Buchhold , S. Shevate , M. Morgado , Y. Wang , G. Lochead , S. Diehl , S. Whitlock

In the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model of disease spreading, the time to extinction of the epidemics happens at an intermediate value of the per-contact transmission probability. Too contagious infections burn out fast in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-05 Petter Holme

We consider two stochastic processes, the Gribov process and the general epidemic process, that describe the spreading of an infectious disease. In contrast to the usually assumed case of short-range infections that lead, at the critical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 H. K. Janssen , K. Oerding , F. van Wijland , H. J. Hilhorst

Populations are seldom completely isolated from their environment. Individuals in a particular geographic or social region may be considered a distinct network due to strong local ties, but will also interact with individuals in other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-30 M. Dickison , S. Havlin , H. E. Stanley

Multiple-type branching processes that model the spread of infectious diseases are investigated. In these stochastic processes, the disease goes through multiple stages before it eventually disappears. We mostly focus on the critical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-04 Tibor Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

Diffusion of information in networks is at the core of many problems in AI. Common examples include the spread of ideas and rumors as well as marketing campaigns. Typically, information diffuses at a non-linear rate, for example, if markets…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik

In a seminal work, Chatterjee and Durrett (2009) established that for the SIS epidemic process on random graphs with power-law degree distributions, the infection survives for an exponentially long time (in the network size) for any fixed,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Zihao He , Souvik Dhara , Debankur Mukherjee

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on the complete graph with $n$ vertices. This model has two parameters, which are the infection rate and the recovery rate. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Huazheng Bu , Xiaofeng Xue

Network-based models of epidemic spread have become increasingly popular in recent decades. Despite a rich foundation of such models, few low-dimensional systems for modeling SIS-type diseases have been proposed that manage to capture the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Carl Corcoran , Alan Hastings

Mathematical modeling of epidemic propagation on networks is extended to hypergraphs in order to account for both the community structure and the nonlinear dependence of the infection pressure on the number of infected neighbours. The exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Ágnes Bodó , Gyula Y. Katona , Péter L. Simon

We derive an analytical expression for the critical infection rate r_c of the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) disease spreading model on random networks. To obtain r_c, we first calculate the probability of reinfection, pi, defined…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-07-16 Roni Parshani , Shai Carmi , Shlomo Havlin
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