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We study a discrete Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of infectious disease on a homogeneous tree and the limit behavior of the model in the case when the tree vertex degree tends to infinity. We obtain the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

In this paper we conduct a simulation study of the spread of an epidemic like COVID-19 with temporary immunity on finite spatial and non-spatial network models. In particular, we assume that an epidemic spreads stochastically on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-16 Tim Hulshof , Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy

We investigate what structural aspects of a collection of twelve empirical temporal networks of human contacts are important to disease spreading. We scan the entire parameter spaces of the two canonical models of infectious disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-27 Petter Holme , Fredrik Liljeros

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin

In this work, some new exact and approximate analytical solutions are obtained for the SIR epidemic model, which is formulated in terms of dimensionless variables and parameters. The susceptibles population (S) is in this way explicitly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-04 Mario Berberan-Santos

Short-time human travel behaviour can be described by a power law with respect to distance. We incorporate this information in space-time models for infectious disease surveillance data to better capture the dynamics of disease spread. Two…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 Sebastian Meyer , Leonhard Held

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model is the canonical model of epidemics of infections that make people immune upon recovery. Many of the open questions in computational epidemiology concern the underlying contact structure's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Petter Holme

An upper bound for the critical probability of long range bond percolation in $d=2$ and $d=3$ is obtained by connecting the bond percolation with the SIR epidemic model, thus complementing the lower bound result in Frei and Perkins…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Jieliang Hong

We consider the emergent behavior of viral spread when agents in a large population interact with each other over a contact network. When the number of agents is large and the contact network is a complete graph, it is well known that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar

We study the stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible model of epidemic processes on finite directed and weighted networks with arbitrary structure. We present a new lower bound on the exponential rate at which the probabilities of nodes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Naoki Masuda , Victor M. Preciado , Masaki Ogura

Propagation of contagion in networks depends on the graph topology. This paper is concerned with studying the time-asymptotic behavior of the extended contact processes on static, undirected, finite-size networks. This is a contact process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-03 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura

What is the long-time behavior of the law of a contact process started with a single infected site, distributed according to counting measure on the lattice? This question is related to the configuration as seen from a typical infected site…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart

We consider the critical spread-out contact process in $\Zd$ with $d\geq 1$, whose infection range is denoted by $L\geq1$. The two-point function $\tau_t(x)$ is the probability that $x\in\Zd$ is infected at time $t$ by the infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Remco van der Hofstad , Akira Sakai

To provide a comprehensive view for dynamics of and on many real-world temporal networks, we investigate the interplay of temporal connectivity patterns and spreading phenomena, in terms of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-23 Hyewon Kim , Meesoon Ha , Hawoong Jeong

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

Epidemic spreading and cascading failure are two important dynamical processes over complex networks. They have been investigated separately for a long history. But in the real world, these two dynamics sometimes may interact with each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Lurong Jiang , Xinyu Jin , Yongxiang Xia , Bo Ouyang , Duanpo Wu

Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Ping-Ping Li , Bi-Hui Chen

We consider an SIR-type (Susceptible $\to$ Infected $\to$ Recovered) stochastic epidemic process with multiple modes of transmission on a contact network. The network is given by a random graph following a multilayer configuration model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-22 Karly A. Jacobsen , Mark G. Burch , Joseph H. Tien , Grzegorz A. Rempała

We investigate dimensional reduction, the property that the critical behavior of a system in the presence of quenched disorder in dimension d is the same as that of its pure counterpart in d-2, and its breakdown in the case of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-08-09 Maxime Baczyk , Matthieu Tissier , Gilles Tarjus , Yoshinori Sakamoto

Memory has a great impact on the evolution of every process related to human societies. Among them, the evolution of an epidemic is directly related to the individuals' experiences. Indeed, any real epidemic process is clearly sustained by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-10 M. Saeedian , M. Khalighi , N. Azimi-Tafreshi , G. R. Jafari , M. Ausloos
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