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Related papers: Two-dimensional SIR epidemics with long range infe…

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This work examines the discrete-time networked SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model, where the infection and recovery parameters may be time-varying. We provide a sufficient condition for the SIR model to converge to the set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-01 Ciyuan Zhang , Humphrey Leung , Brooks Butler , Philip. E. Paré

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We propose a simple SIR model in order to investigate the impact of various confinement strategies on a most virulent epidemic. Our approach is motivated by the current COVID-19 pandemic. The main hypothesis is the existence of two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-30 G. Nakamura , B. Grammaticos , M. Badoual

The mobility patterns of individuals in China during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibit reversible changes -- in many regions, the mobility first decreased significantly and later restored. Based on this observation, here…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-25 Xincheng Shu , Zhongyuan Ruan

We investigate how site dilution, as would be introduced by immunization, affects the properties of the active-to-absorbing non-equilibrium phase transition in the paradigmatic Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model on regular cubic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-18 Ruslan Mukhamadiarov , Uwe C. Täuber

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fabio Lopes

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model with identical infectivity, where each node is assigned with the same capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step, is presented. We found that on scale-free networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Ming-Feng Zhang , Bing-Hong Wang

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We examine how the behaviour of high degree vertices in a network affects whether an infection spreads through communities or jumps between them. We study two stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) processes and represent our…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Joshua Feldman , Jeannette Janssen

SIRS epidemic models assume that individual immunity (from infection and vaccination) wanes in one big leap, from complete immunity to complete susceptibility. For many diseases immunity on the contrary wanes gradually, something that's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Mohamed El Khalifi , Tom Britton

We discuss the criticality in the stochastic SIR model for infectious diseases. We adopt the path-integral formalism for the propagation of infections among susceptible, infectious, and removed individuals, and perform the perturbative and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-14 Shigehiro Yasui , Yutaka Hatakeyama , Yoshiyasu Okuhara

We study the effects of local and distance interactions in the unidimensional contact process (CP). In the model, each site of a lattice is occupied by an individual, which can be healthy or infected. As in the standard CP, each infected…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-30 Priscila R. Silveira , Marcelo M. de Oliveira , Sidiney G. Alves

Epidemic threshold is one of the most important features of the epidemic dynamics. Through a lot of numerical simulations in classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) models on various types of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-16 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Younghae Do

We introduce a modified SIR model with memory for the dynamics of epidemic spreading in a constant population of individuals. Each individual is in one of the states susceptible (${\bf S}$), infected (${\bf I}$) or recovered (${\bf R}$). In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet , Alejandro P. Riascos , Andrzej F. Nowakowski

We consider a standard \textit{susceptible-infected-susceptible} (SIS) model to study behaviors of steady states of epidemic spreading in small-world networks. Using analytical methods and large scale simulations, we recover the usual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Xin-Jian Xu , Zhi-Xi Wu , Yong Chen , Ying-Hai Wang

We present a finite-size scaling theory of a contact process with permanent immunity on uncorrelated scale-free networks. We model an epidemic outbreak by an analog of the susceptible-infected-removed model where an infected individual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-20 D. S. M. Alencar , T. F. A. Alves , F. W. S. Lima , G. A. Alves , A. Macedo-Filho , R. S. Ferreira

For many infectious diseases, a small-world network on an underlying regular lattice is a suitable simplified model for the contact structure of the host population. It is well known that the contact network, described in this setting by a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) equations and their extensions comprise a commonly utilized set of models for understanding and predicting the course of an epidemic. In practice, it is of substantial interest to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-07 Omar Melikechi , Alexander L. Young , Tao Tang , Trevor Bowman , David Dunson , James Johndrow

We study the statistical properties of the SIR epidemics in heterogeneous networks, when an epidemic is defined as only those SIR propagations that reach or exceed a minimum size s_c. Using percolation theory to calculate the average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 C. Lagorio , M. V. Migueles , L. A. Braunstein , E. López , P. A. Macri

Recent studies on network geometry, a way of describing network structures as geometrical objects, are revolutionizing our way to understand dynamical processes on networked systems. Here, we cope with the problem of epidemic spreading,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Joan T. Matamalas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas