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It is a longstanding debate on the absence of threshold for susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on networks with finite second order moment of degree distribution. The eigenvector localization of the adjacency matrix for a network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-20 Zong-Wen Wei , Bing-Hong Wang

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on the networks. We derive an analytical expression of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-18 M. Ali Saif

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Analytical studies of network epidemiology almost exclusively focus on the extreme situations where the time scales of network dynamics are well separated (longer or shorter) from that of epidemic propagation. In realistic scenarios,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-16 Chao-Ran Cai , Yuan-Yuan Nie , Petter Holme

The quasi-deterministic limit of the generic extinction transition is considered within the framework of standard epidemiological models. The susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model is known to exhibit a transition from extinction to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

A theoretical framework for the description of Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) spreading processes with synergistic transmission of infection on a lattice is developed. The model incorporates explicitly the effects of a time-dependent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-25 Sergei Taraskin , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche

We study the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly over all graphs with certain critical, heavy-tailed degree distributions. For this model, each vertex infects all its susceptible neighbors and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-14 David Clancy

We perform a numerical study of the long range (LR) ferromagnetic Ising model with power law decaying interactions ($J \propto r^{-d-\sigma}$) both on a one-dimensional chain ($d=1$) and on a square lattice ($d=2$). We use advanced cluster…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-13 Maria Chiara Angelini , Giorgio Parisi , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

We consider the spread of a supercritical stochastic SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemic on a configuration model random graph. We mainly focus on the final stages of a large outbreak and provide limit results for the duration…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Abid Ali Lashari , Ana Serafimović , Pieter Trapman

We investigate the sensitivity of epidemic behavior to a bounded susceptibility constraint -- susceptible nodes are infected by their neighbors via the regular SI/SIS dynamics, but subject to a cap on the infection rate. Such a constraint…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Subhashini Krishnasamy , Siddhartha Banerjee , Sanjay Shakkottai

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is studied in multilayer networks with arbitrary number of links across the layers. By following the mapping to bond percolation we give the analytical expression for the epidemic threshold and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-09 Ginestra Bianconi

In this paper we consider a model for the spread of a stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemic on a network of individuals described by a random intersection graph. Individuals belong to a random number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Frank G. Ball , David J. Sirl , Pieter Trapman

We consider Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models on dense dynamic random graphs, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges are co-evolutionary, i.e., they influence each other bidirectionally. In particular, edges appear and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

Emergence of new diseases and elimination of existing diseases is a key public health issue. In mathematical models of epidemics, such phenomena involve the process of infections and recoveries passing through a critical threshold where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge , Thomas House

The outcome of SIR epidemics with heterogeneous infective lifetimes, or heterogeneous susceptibilities, can be mapped onto a directed percolation process on the underlying contact network. In this paper we study SIR models where…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-01 G. J. Baxter , G. Timár

We investigate a model of epidemic spreading with partial immunization which is controlled by two probabilities, namely, for first infections, $p_0$, and reinfections, $p$. When the two probabilities are equal, the model reduces to directed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephan M. Dammer , Haye Hinrichsen

We consider a stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic defined on a configuration model random graph, in which infective individuals can infect only their neighbours in the graph during an infectious period…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Frank Ball

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein