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The measured correlations of financial time series in subsequent epochs change considerably as a function of time. When studying the whole correlation matrices, quasi-stationary patterns, referred to as market states, are seen by applying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Anton J. Heckens , Sebastian M. Krause , Thomas Guhr

We use machine learning for designing a medium frequency trading strategy for a portfolio of 5 year and 10 year US Treasury note futures. We formulate this as a classification problem where we predict the weekly direction of movement of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-22 Abhijit Sharang , Chetan Rao

Stock market prediction with forecasting algorithms is a popular topic these days where most of the forecasting algorithms train only on data collected on a particular stock. In this paper, we enriched the stock data with related stocks…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-17 Lior Sidi

News spreads rapidly across languages and regions, but translations may lose subtle nuances. We propose a method to align sentences in multilingual news articles using optimal transport, identifying semantically similar content across…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Yuntao Wu , Lynn Tao , Ing-Haw Cheng , Charles Martineau , Yoshio Nozawa , John Hull , Andreas Veneris

Recommending appropriate algorithms to a classification problem is one of the most challenging issues in the field of data mining. The existing algorithm recommendation models are generally constructed on only one kind of meta-features by…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Guangtao Wang , Qinbao Song , Xiaoyan Zhu

We develop a self-supervised ensemble learning (SSEL) method to accurately classify distinct types of phase transitions by analyzing the fluctuation properties of machine learning outputs. Employing the 2D Potts model and the 2D Clock model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-27 Chi-Ting Ho , Daw-Wei Wang

We investigate a number of Artificial Neural Network architectures (well-known and more ``exotic'') in application to the long-term financial time-series forecasts of indexes on different global markets. The particular area of interest of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Stanislav Selitskiy

We propose a novel approach that allows to calculate Hilbert transform based complex correlation for unevenly spaced data. This method is especially suitable for high frequency trading data, which are of a particular interest in finance.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Mateusz Wilinski , Yuichi Ikeda , Hideaki Aoyama

We investigate the use of path signatures in a machine learning context for hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models. In a deep learning setting, we use signatures as features in feedforward neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

Ensemble methods in machine learning aim to improve prediction accuracy by combining multiple models. This is achieved by ensuring diversity among predictors to capture different data aspects. Homogeneous ensembles use identical models,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Emiliano Tolotti , Enrico Blanzieri , Davide Pastorello

Optimization of machine learning models is commonly performed through stochastic gradient updates on randomly ordered training examples. This practice means that sub-epochs comprise of independent random samples of the training data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Eliav Buchnik , Edith Cohen , Avinatan Hassidim , Yossi Matias

Many different machine learning algorithms exist; taking into account each algorithm's hyperparameters, there is a staggeringly large number of possible alternatives overall. We consider the problem of simultaneously selecting a learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Chris Thornton , Frank Hutter , Holger H. Hoos , Kevin Leyton-Brown

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We attempt to mitigate the persistent tradeoff between risk and return in medium- to long-term portfolio management. This paper proposes a novel LLM-guided no-regret portfolio allocation framework that integrates online learning dynamics,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Muhammad Abro , Hassan Jaleel

With fairness concerns gaining significant attention in Machine Learning (ML), several bias mitigation techniques have been proposed, often compared against each other to find the best method. These benchmarking efforts tend to use a common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Prakhar Ganesh , Usman Gohar , Lu Cheng , Golnoosh Farnadi

Self-supervised learning (SSL) has recently achieved impressive performance on various time series tasks. The most prominent advantage of SSL is that it reduces the dependence on labeled data. Based on the pre-training and fine-tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Kexin Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Rongyao Cai , Ming Jin , Yong Liu , James Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Guansong Pang , Dongjin Song , Shirui Pan

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

Most enterprise data is distributed in multiple relational databases with expert-designed schema. Using traditional single-table machine learning techniques over such data not only incur a computational penalty for converting to a 'flat'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-14 Geetha Manjunatha , M Narasimha Murty , Dinkar Sitaram

Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu
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