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In this paper we propose a novel machine-learning method for anomaly detection applicable to data with periodic characteristics where randomly varying period lengths are explicitly allowed. A multi-dimensional time series analysis is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-22 Lia Ahrens , Julian Ahrens , Hans D. Schotten

This work proposes a unified framework for portfolio allocation, covering both asset selection and optimization, based on a multiple-hypothesis predict-then-optimize approach. The portfolio is modeled as a structured ensemble, where each…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez , Muhammad Shahzad , Xia Hong

Complex statistical machine learning models are increasingly being used or considered for use in high-stakes decision-making pipelines in domains such as financial services, health care, criminal justice and human services. These models are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-04 Alexandra Chouldechova , Max G'Sell

This study introduces a dynamic investment framework to enhance portfolio management in volatile markets, offering clear advantages over traditional static strategies. Evaluates four conventional approaches : equal weighted, minimum…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Jinhui Li , Wenjia Xie , Luis Seco

Machine learning driven trading strategies have garnered a lot of interest over the past few years. There is, however, limited consensus on the ideal approach for the development of such trading strategies. Further, most literature has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Prasang Gupta , Shaz Hoda , Anand Rao

Quantifying the similarity between datasets has widespread applications in statistics and machine learning. The performance of a predictive model on novel datasets, referred to as generalizability, depends on how similar the training and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Marieke Stolte , Franziska Kappenberg , Jörg Rahnenführer , Andrea Bommert

This paper proposes a novel stock selection strategy framework based on combined machine learning algorithms. Two types of weighting methods for three representative machine learning algorithms are developed to predict the returns of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Lin Cai , Zhiyang He , Caiya Zhang

In this bachelor thesis, we show how four different machine learning methods (Long Short-Term Memory, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine Regression, and k-Nearest Neighbor) perform compared to already successfully applied trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Danijel Jevtic , Romain Deleze , Joerg Osterrieder

Machine learning methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) facilitate large-scale personalized decision-making across various domains such as healthcare, policy making, education, and more. Current machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Disha Makhija , Joydeep Ghosh , Yejin Kim

Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adeline Fermanian

Neural networks have been used as a nonparametric method for option pricing and hedging since the early 1990s. Far over a hundred papers have been published on this topic. This note intends to provide a comprehensive review. Papers are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-12 Johannes Ruf , Weiguan Wang

This paper presents a new approach to statistical similarity assessment based on sequence alignment. The algorithm performs mutual matching of two random sequences by successively searching for common elements and by applying sequence…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Jakub Nikonowicz , Łukasz Matuszewski , Paweł Kubczak

Daily streamflow forecasting through data-driven approaches is traditionally performed using a single machine learning algorithm. Existing applications are mostly restricted to examination of few case studies, not allowing accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-24 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

Federated Learning has emerged as a transformative paradigm for collaborative machine learning across distributed environments. However, its performance is strongly influenced by the aggregation strategy used to combine local model updates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Antonios Makris , Christos Dousis , Emmanouil Kritharakis , Stavros Bouras , Konstantinos Tserpes

In many real-world application, e.g., speech recognition or sleep stage classification, data are captured over the course of time, constituting a Time-Series. Time-Series often contain temporal dependencies that cause two otherwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-10 John Cristian Borges Gamboa

We present a framework for hedging a portfolio of derivatives in the presence of market frictions such as transaction costs, market impact, liquidity constraints or risk limits using modern deep reinforcement machine learning methods. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Hans Bühler , Lukas Gonon , Josef Teichmann , Ben Wood

We propose some machine-learning-based algorithms to solve hedging problems in incomplete markets. Sources of incompleteness cover illiquidity, untradable risk factors, discrete hedging dates and transaction costs. The proposed algorithms…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-13 Simon Fécamp , Joseph Mikael , Xavier Warin

This study conducts a benchmarking study, comparing 23 different statistical and machine learning methods in a credit scoring application. In order to do so, the models' performance is evaluated over four different data sets in combination…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-31 Anna Stelzer

The recent advancements in computational power and machine learning algorithms have led to vast improvements in manifold areas of research. Especially in finance, the application of machine learning enables both researchers and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-21 Sven Husmann , Antoniya Shivarova , Rick Steinert

We compare three network portfolio selection methods; hierarchical clustering trees, minimum spanning trees and neighbor-Nets, with random and industry group selection methods on twelve years of data from the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-08 Hannah Cheng Juan Zhan , William Rea , Alethea Rea