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We investigate the performance of dynamic portfolios constructed using more than 21,000 technical trading rules on 12 categorical and country-specific markets over the 2004-2015 study period, on rolling forward structures of different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Georgios Sermpinis , Arman Hassanniakalager , Charalampos Stasinakis , Ioannis Psaradellis

Stakeholders make various types of decisions with respect to requirements, design, management, and so on during the software development life cycle. Nevertheless, these decisions are typically not well documented and classified due to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Liming Fu , Peng Liang , Xueying Li , Chen Yang

Process mining enables the reconstruction and evaluation of business processes based on digital traces in IT systems. An increasingly important technique in this context is process prediction. Given a sequence of events of an ongoing trace,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Dominic A. Neu , Johannes Lahann , Peter Fettke

In order to understand the application of computer technology in financial investment, the author proposes a research on the application of computer technology in financial investment. The author used user transaction data from a certain…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Xinye Sha

The study of time series has motivated many researchers, particularly on the area of multivariate-analysis. The study of co-movements and dependency between random variables leads us to develop metrics to describe existing connection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Hugo Schnoering , Hugo Inzirillo

We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

The process of collecting and organizing sets of observations represents a common theme throughout the history of science. However, despite the ubiquity of scientists measuring, recording, and analyzing the dynamics of different processes,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-23 Ben D. Fulcher , Max A. Little , Nick S. Jones

This study presents a deep reinforcement learning approach for global hedging of long-term financial derivatives. A similar setup as in Coleman et al. (2007) is considered with the risk management of lookback options embedded in guarantees…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Alexandre Carbonneau

Goal-based investing is concerned with reaching a monetary investment goal by a given finite deadline, which differs from mean-variance optimization in modern portfolio theory. In this article, we expand the close connection between…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-01 Thomas Krabichler , Marcus Wunsch

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

In recent years the importance of finding a meaningful pattern from huge datasets has become more challenging. Data miners try to adopt innovative methods to face this problem by applying feature selection methods. In this paper we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-03-11 Mehdi Naseriparsa , Amir-masoud Bidgoli , Touraj Varaee

This work extends a previous work in regime detection, which allowed trading positions to be profitably adjusted when a new regime was detected, to ex ante prediction of regimes, leading to substantial performance improvements over the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

Model merging combines multiple models into a single model with aggregated capabilities, making it a powerful tool for large language model (LLM) development. However, scaling model merging is challenging: performance depends on the choice…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Oliver Bolton , Aakanksha , Arash Ahmadian , Sara Hooker , Marzieh Fadaee , Beyza Ermis

Ensemble learning has been a focal point of machine learning research due to its potential to improve predictive performance. This study revisits the foundational work on ensemble error decomposition, historically confined to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 João Mendes-Moreira , Tiago Mendes-Neves

Financial market prediction is a challenging application of machine learning, where even small improvements in directional accuracy can yield substantial value. Most models struggle to exceed 55--57\% accuracy due to high noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Abraham Itzhak Weinberg

In machine learning, classification is usually seen as a function approximation problem, where the goal is to learn a function that maps input features to class labels. In this paper, we propose a novel clustering and classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Hrushikesh Mhaskar , Ryan O'Dowd , Efstratios Tsoukanis

We review some methods recently used in the literature to detect the existence of a certain degree of common behavior of stock returns belonging to the same economic sector. Specifically, we discuss methods based on random matrix theory and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-25 C. Coronnello , M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , S. Micciche` , R. N. Mantegna

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

The combination of multiple classifiers using ensemble methods is increasingly important for making progress in a variety of difficult prediction problems. We present a comparative analysis of several ensemble methods through two case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Sean Whalen , Gaurav Pandey

Time series data, defined by equally spaced points over time, is essential in fields like medicine, telecommunications, and energy. Analyzing it involves tasks such as classification, clustering, prototyping, and regression. Classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Ali Ismail-Fawaz