English

Regret-Driven Portfolios: LLM-Guided Smart Clustering for Optimal Allocation

Portfolio Management 2026-01-27 v1 Machine Learning Multiagent Systems

Abstract

We attempt to mitigate the persistent tradeoff between risk and return in medium- to long-term portfolio management. This paper proposes a novel LLM-guided no-regret portfolio allocation framework that integrates online learning dynamics, market sentiment indicators, and large language model (LLM)-based hedging to construct high-Sharpe ratio portfolios tailored for risk-averse investors and institutional fund managers. Our approach builds on a follow-the-leader approach, enriched with sentiment-based trade filtering and LLM-driven downside protection. Empirical results demonstrate that our method outperforms a SPY buy-and-hold baseline by 69% in annualized returns and 119% in Sharpe ratio.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2601.17021,
  title  = {Regret-Driven Portfolios: LLM-Guided Smart Clustering for Optimal Allocation},
  author = {Muhammad Abro and Hassan Jaleel},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.17021},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T09:17:49.040Z