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Phenomena such as air pollution levels are of greatest interest when observations are large, but standard prediction methods are not specifically designed for large observations. We propose a method, rooted in extreme value theory, which…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Daniel Cooley , Richard A. Davis , Philippe Naveau

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Aaron Chong , Konstantin Borovkov

Let $X_1,\...,X_n$ be independent with zero means, finite variances $\sigma_1^2,\...,\sigma_n^2$ and finite absolute third moments. Let $F_n$ be the distribution function of $(X_1+\...+X_n)/\sigma$, where $\sigma^2=\sum_{i=1}^n\sigma_i^2$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Larry Goldstein

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

In this work the $\ell_q$-norms of points chosen uniformly at random in a centered regular simplex in high dimensions are studied. Berry-Esseen bounds in the regime $1\leq q < \infty$ are derived and complemented by a non-central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Anastas Baci , Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno , Mathias Sonnleitner , Christoph Thaele

This paper establishes a combinatorial central limit theorem for stratified randomization, which holds under a Lindeberg-type condition. The theorem allows for an arbitrary number or sizes of strata, with the sole requirement being that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

Eagleson's Theorem asserts that, given a probability-preserving map, ifrenormalized Birkhoff sums of a function converge in distribution, thenthey also converge with respect to any probability measure which isabsolutely continuous with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-02 Sébastien Gouëzel

It is well known Heyde's characterization of the Gaussian distribution on the real line: Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\dots, \xi_n$, $n\ge 2,$ be independent random variables, let $\alpha_j, \beta_j$ be nonzero constants such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Gennadiy Feldman

We consider Canonical Gibbsian ensembles of Euler point vortices on the 2-dimensional torus or in a bounded domain of R 2 . We prove that under the Central Limit scaling of vortices intensities, and provided that the system has zero global…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Francesco Grotto , Marco Romito

Grubbs and Weaver (JASA 42 (1947) 224--241) suggest a minimum-variance unbiased estimator for the population standard deviation of a normal random variable, where a random sample is drawn and a weighted sum of the ranges of subsamples is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Andrew V. Sills , Charles W. Champ

Let $(X_1,\dots,X_m)$ be self-adjoint non-commutative random variables distributed according to the free Gibbs law given by a sufficiently regular convex and semi-concave potential $V$, and let $(S_1,\dots,S_m)$ be a free semicircular…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2020-01-08 David Jekel

We briefly review Boltzmann-Gibbs and nonextensive statistical mechanics as well as their connections with Fokker-Planck equations and with existing central limit theorems. We then provide some hints that might pave the road to the proof of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Constantino Tsallis

Consider the $n\times n$ matrix $X_n=A_n+H_n$, where $A_n$ is a $n\times n$ matrix (either deterministic or random) and $H_n$ is a $n\times n$ matrix independent from $A_n$ drawn from complex Ginibre ensemble. We study the limiting…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Roman Sarapin

The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

We provide a quantitative analysis of the phenomenon of crowding of near-extreme events by computing exactly the density of states (DOS) near the maximum of a set of independent and identically distributed random variables. We show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sanjib Sabhapandit , Satya N. Majumdar

We unconditionally improve the uniformity in the Chebotarev density theorem for Galois extensions of number fields using nonabelian base change. This leads to the first theoretical improvement over Weiss's bound for the least norm of an…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Jesse Thorner , Zhuo Zhang

In this paper, we show that the methods of mathematical statistical physics can be successfully applied to random fields in finite volumes. As a result, we obtain simple necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Linda A. Khachatryan , Boris S. Nahapetian

Abel's quadratures for integrable Hamiltonian systems are defined up to a group law of the corresponding Abelian variety $A$. If $A$ is isogenous to a direct product of Abelian varieties $A\cong A_1\times\cdots\times A_k$, the group law can…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2022-10-05 A. V. Tsiganov

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart
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