English

Large deviation probabilities for sums of censored random variables with regularly varying distribution tails

Probability 2025-06-05 v1

Abstract

Let ξ1,ξ2,\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a threshold sequence Mn(nlnn)1/2,M_n\gg (n\ln n)^{1/2}, n,n\to \infty, and establish the asymptotics of the probabilities of the large deviations of the form j=1n(ξjMn)>x \sum_{j=1}^n(\xi_j \wedge M_n)>x in the whole spectrum of xx-values in the region O(Mn).O(M_n). The asymptotic representations for these probabilities obey the "multiple large jumps principle" and have different forms in the vicinities of the multiples kMnkM_n of the censoring threshold values, on the one hand, and inside intervals of the form ((k1)Mn,kMn),((k-1)M_n, kM_n), on the other. We show that there is a "smooth transition" of these representations from one to the other when the deviation xx increases to a multiple of MnM_n, "crosses" it and then moves away from it.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2506.03727,
  title  = {Large deviation probabilities for sums of censored random variables with regularly varying distribution tails},
  author = {Aaron Chong and Konstantin Borovkov},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.03727},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

18 pages, 2 figures