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Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

The purpose of this paper is twofold. In one direction, we extend the spectral method for random piecewise expanding and hyperbolic dynamics developed by the first author \textit{et al}. to establish quenched versions of the large deviation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Davor Dragičević , Yeor Hafouta

The study of high-dimensional distributions is of interest in probability theory, statistics and asymptotic convex geometry, where the object of interest is the uniform distribution on a convex set in high dimensions. The $\ell^p$ spaces…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Steven Soojin Kim , Kavita Ramanan

We investigate conditions for the existence of the limiting conditional distribution of a bivariate random vector when one component becomes large. We revisit the existing literature on the topic, and present some new sufficient conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-21 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

The problem of characterization of Gibbs random fields is considered. Various Gibbsianness criteria are obtained using the earlier developed one-point framework which in particular allows to describe random fields by means of either…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian , Boris Nahapetian

A strengthened version of the central limit theorem for discrete random variables is established, relying only on information-theoretic tools and elementary arguments. It is shown that the relative entropy between the standardised sum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Let $(X_i)_{1 \le i \le n}$ be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) standard Gaussian random variables, and denote by $X_{(n)} = \max_{1 \le i \le n} X_i$ the maximum order statistic. It is well-known in extreme value theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Yutao Ma , Bingjie Tian

The class of subweibull distributions has recently been shown to generalize the important properties of subexponential and subgaussian random variables. We describe alternative characterizations of subweibull distributions and detail the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-12 F. William Townes

Let $\{\xi_n, n\in\Z^d\}$ be a $d$-dimensional array of i.i.d. Gaussian random variables and define $\SSS(A)=\sum_{n\in A} \xi_n$, where $A$ is a finite subset of $\Z^d$. We prove that the appropriately normalized maximum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-05 Zakhar Kabluchko

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Arratia , Larry Goldstein , Bryan Langholz

Let $K_n$ denote the number of distinct values among the first $n$ terms of an infinite exchangeable sequence of random variables $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$. We prove for $n=3$ that the extreme points of the convex set of all possible laws of $K_3$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Theodore Zhu

Standard statistical mechanical or condensed matter arguments tell us that bulk properties of a physical system do not depend too much on boundary conditions. Random tilings of large regions provide counterexamples to such intuition, as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-17 Jean-Marie Stéphan

Consider the Abelian sandpile measure on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \ge 2$, obtained as the $L \to \infty$ limit of the stationary distribution of the sandpile on $[-L,L]^d \cap \mathbb{Z}^d$. When adding a grain of sand at the origin, some region,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Sandeep Bhupatiraju , Jack Hanson , Antal A. Járai

An information theory description of finite systems explicitly evolving in time is presented for classical as well as quantum mechanics. We impose a variational principle on the Shannon entropy at a given time while the constraints are set…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Philippe Chomaz , Francesca Gulminelli , Olivier Juillet

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

The extremal Fourier intensities are studied for stationary Edwards-Wilkinson-type, Gaussian, interfaces with power-law dispersion. We calculate the probability distribution of the maximal intensity and find that, generically, it does not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 G. Gyorgyi , P. C. W. Holdsworth , B. Portelli , Z. Racz

We derive a necessary and sufficient condition for the sum of M independent continuous random variables modulo 1 to converge to the uniform distribution in L^1([0,1]), and discuss generalizations to discrete random variables. A consequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-15 Steven J. Miller , Mark J. Nigrini