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Stem cells, through their ability to produce daughter stem cells and differentiate into specialized cells, are essential in the growth, maintenance, and repair of biological tissues. Understanding the dynamics of cell populations in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-02 Huyen Nguyen , Haim Bar , Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

The evolving Kingman coalescent is the tree-valued process which records the time evolution undergone by the genealogies of Moran populations. We consider the associated process of total external tree length of the evolving Kingman…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Iulia Dahmer , Götz Kersting

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

Renewal processes are a popular approach used in modelling infectious disease outbreaks. In a renewal process, previous infections give rise to future infections. However, while this formulation seems sensible, its application to infectious…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Swapnil Mishra , Tresnia Berah , Thomas A. Mellan , H. Juliette T. Unwin , Michaela A Vollmer , Kris V Parag , Axel Gandy , Seth Flaxman , Samir Bhatt

We consider a stochastic model describing a constant size $N$ population that may be seen as a directed polymer in random medium with $N$ sites in the transverse direction. The population dynamics is governed by a noisy traveling wave…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Aser Cortines

We develop theoretical equivalences between stochastic and deterministic models for populations of individual cells stratified by age. Specifically, we develop a hierarchical system of equations describing the full dynamics of an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-29 Joshua C. Kynaston , Chris Guiver , Christian A. Yates

In the present article, we investigate the effects of dormancy on an abstract population genetic level. We first provide a short review of seed bank models in population genetics, and the role of dormancy for the interplay of evolutionary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Jochen Blath , Noemi Kurt

Ancestral sequence reconstruction (ASR) aims to infer extinct protein sequences at internal nodes of a phylogenetic tree. Classical ASR methods are typically based on continuous-time Markov substitution models, but they treat sites largely…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-07 Emil Sharafutdinov , Ingemar André

We establish convergence to the Kingman coalescent for the genealogy of a geographically - or otherwise - structured version of the Wright-Fisher population model with fast migration. The new feature is that migration probabilities may…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-25 Serik Sagitov , Peter Jagers , Vladimir Vatutin

We study the common ancestor type distribution in a $2$-type Moran model with population size $N$, mutation and selection, and in the deterministic limit regime arising in the former when $N$ tends to infinity, without any rescaling of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fernando Cordero

Multiple-merger coalescents, e.g. $\Lambda$-$n$-coalescents, have been proposed as models of the genealogy of $n$ sampled individuals for a range of populations whose genealogical structures are not captured well by Kingman's…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Fabian Freund

The deterministic selection-recombination equation describes the evolution of the genetic type composition of a population under selection and recombination in a law of large numbers regime. So far, an explicit solution has seemed out of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ellen Baake , Frederic Alberti

We consider a class of birth-and-death processes describing a population made of $d$ sub-populations of different types which interact with one another. The state space is $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ (unbounded). We assume that the population goes…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

We consider a model of stationary population with random size given by a continuous state branching process with immigration with a quadratic branching mechanism. We give an exact elementary simulation procedure of the genealogical tree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Jean-François Delmas , Romain Abraham

The Wright-Fisher model is the most popular population model for describing the behaviour of evolutionary systems with a finite population size. Approximations to the model have commonly been used for the analysis of time-resolved genome…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-21 Nuno R. Nené , Ville Mustonen , Christopher J. R. Illingworth

We establish convergence to the Kingman coalescent for a class of age-structured population models with time-constant population size. Time is discrete with unit called a year. Offspring numbers in a year may depend on mother's age.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Serik Sagitov , Peter Jagers

For the symbiotic branching model introduced by Etheridge/Fleischmann (2004), it is shown that aging and intermittency exhibit different behaviour for negative, zero, and positive correlations. Our approach also provides an alternative,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-05 Frank Aurzada , Leif Doering

We derive the asymptotic behavior of the total, active and inactive branch lengths of the seed bank coalescent, when the size of the initial sample grows to infinity. Those random variables have important applications for populations…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Adrián González Casanova , Lizbeth Peñaloza , Arno Siri-Jégousse
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