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It is known that the Kimura 3ST model of sequence evolution on phylogenetic trees can be extended quite naturally to arbitrary split systems. However, this extension relies heavily on mathematical peculiarities of the K3ST model, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-24 J. G. Sumner , B. H. Holland , P. D. Jarvis

We review recent progress on ancestral processes related to mutation-selection models, both in the deterministic and the stochastic setting. We mainly rely on two concepts, namely, the killed ancestral selection graph and the pruned…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Anton Wakolbinger

We prove the well-posedness of a differential equation that describes the evolution of the large-system limit of the empirical age measure in the mean field forest fire model of R\'ath and T\'oth (arXiv:0808.2116). This forest fire model is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Edward Crane

We consider a population constituted by two types of individuals; each of them can produce offspring in two different islands (as a particular case the islands can be interpreted as active or dormant individuals). We model the evolution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-01 María Emilia Caballero , Adrián González Casanova , José Luis Pérez

Identifiability of evolutionary tree models has been a recent topic of discussion and some models have been shown to be non-identifiable. A coalescent-based rooted population tree model, originally proposed by Nielsen et al. 1998 [2], has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-15 Arindam RoyChoudhury

Diversity patterns of tree species in a tropical forest community are approached by a simple lattice model and investigated by Monte Carlo simulations using a backtracking method. Our spatially explicit neutral model is based on a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-04 A. Derzsi , Z. Neda

Consider two ancestral lineages sampled from a system of two-dimensional branching random walks with logistic regulation in the stationary regime. We study the asymptotics of their coalescence time for large initial separation and find that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

The genealogy at a single locus of a constant size $N$ population in equilibrium is given by the well-known Kingman's coalescent. When considering multiple loci under recombination, the ancestral recombination graph encodes the genealogies…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-10 Andrej Depperschmidt , Etienne Pardoux , Peter Pfaffelhuber

This contribution is concerned with mathematical models for the dynamics of the genetic composition of populations evolving under recombination. Recombination is the genetic mechanism by which two parent individuals create the mixed type of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-01-12 Ellen Baake

This paper develops a point-mutation model describing the evolutionary dynamics of a population of adult stem cells. Such a model may prove useful for quantitative studies of tissue aging and the emergence of cancer. We consider two modes…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Emmanuel Tannenbaum , James L. Sherley , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

In the renewal processes, if the waiting time probability density function is a tempered power-law distribution, then the process displays a transition dynamics; and the transition time depends on the parameter $\lambda$ of the exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Weihua Deng , Wanli Wang , Xinchun Tian , Yujiang Wu

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees. Substitutions in sequences are modelled through a continuous-time Markov process, characterised by an instantaneous rate matrix, which standard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-20 Naomi E. Hannaford , Sarah E. Heaps , Tom M. W. Nye , Tom A. Williams , T. Martin Embley

A multi-type neutral Cannings population model with mutation and fixed subpopulation sizes is analyzed. Under appropriate conditions, as all subpopulation sizes tend to infinity, the ancestral process, properly time-scaled, converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Martin Möhle

We show how concepts from statistical physics, such as order parameter, thermodynamic limit, and quantum phase transition, translate into biological concepts in mutation-selection models for sequence evolution and can be used there. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Joachim Hermisson , Oliver Redner , Holger Wagner , Ellen Baake

We establish connections between the absorption probabilities of a class of birth-death processes with killing, and the stationary tail of a related class of birth-death processes with catastrophes. The major ingredients of the proofs are a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Enrico Di Gaspero , Anton Wakolbinger

We introduce a continuous-time Markov chain describing dynamic allelic partitions which extends the branching process construction of the Pitman sampling formula in Pitman (2006) and the birth-and-death process with immigration studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Matteo Giordano , Pierpaolo De Blasi , Matteo Ruggiero

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments which arise naturally as spatial embeddings of ancestral lineages in spatial locally regulated population models. In particular, as the main result, we prove the quenched central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

We examine the distributional properties of a Feller diffusion $(X(\tau))_{\tau \in [0, t]}$ conditioned on the current population $X(t)$ having a single ancestor at time zero. The approach is novel and is based on an interpretation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

We revisit the spatial ${\lambda}$-Fleming-Viot process introduced in [1]. Particularly, we are interested in the time $T_0$ to the most recent common ancestor for two lineages. We distinguish between the case where the process acts on the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Johannes Wirtz , Stéphane Guindon