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In population genetics, extant samples are usually used for inference of past population genetic forces. With the Kingman coalescent and the backward diffusion equation, inference of the marginal likelihood proceeds from an extant sample…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Claus Vogl , Sandra Peer

We investigate the infinitely many demes limit of the genealogy of a sample of individuals from a subdivided population subject to sporadic mass extinction events. By exploiting a separation of timescales property of Wright's island model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Jesse E. Taylor , Amandine Veber

The Ancestral Selection Graph (ASG) is an important genealogical process which extends the well-known Kingman coalescent to incorporate natural selection. We show that the number of lineages of the ASG with and without mutation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Philip A. Hanson , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò

We consider a system of interacting Fisher-Wright diffusions with seed-bank. Individuals carry type one of two types, live in colonies, and are subject to resampling and migration as long as they are active. Each colony has a structured…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-22 Andreas Greven , Frank den Hollander

We study a class of Cannings models with population size $N$ having a mixed multinomial offspring distribution with random success probabilities $W_1,\ldots,W_N$ induced by independent and identically distributed positive random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Thierry Huillet , Martin Möhle

Mathematical models of genetic evolution often come in pairs, connected by a so-called duality relation. The most seminal example are the Wright-Fisher diffusion and the Kingman coalescent, where the former describes the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Jere Koskela , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Dario Spanò

In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

Known results on the moments of the distribution generated by the two-locus Wright-Fisher diffusion model and a duality between the diffusion process and the ancestral process with recombination are briefly summarized. A numerical methods…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-08 Shuhei Mano

Seed banks are a common characteristics to many plant species, which allow storage of genetic diversity in the soil as dormant seeds for various periods of time. We investigate an above-ground population following a Fisher-Wright model with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-13 Bendix Koopmann , Johannes Müller , Aurélien Tellier , Daniel Živković

We are interested in the evolving genealogy of a birth and death process with trait structure and ecological interactions. Traits are hereditarily transmitted from a parent to its offspring unless a mutation occurs. The dynamics may depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

In this work we describe a new model for the evolution of a diploid structured population backwards in time that allows for large migrations and uneven offspring distributions. The model generalizes both the mean-field model of Birkner et…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Maximillian Newman

We consider a continuous population whose dynamics is described by the standard stationary Fleming-Viot process, so that the genealogy of $n$ uniformly sampled individuals is distributed as the Kingman $n$-coalescent. In this note, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

If we follow an asexually reproducing population through time, then the amount of time that has passed since the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of all current individuals lived will change as time progresses. The resulting "MRCA age"…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph

Human longevity leaders with remarkably long lifespan play a crucial role in the advancement of longevity research. In this paper, we propose a stochastic model to describe the evolution of the age of the oldest person in the world by a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-06 Csaba Kiss , László Németh , Bálint Vető

$\Lambda$-Wright--Fisher processes provide a robust framework to describe the type-frequency evolution of an infinite neutral population. We add a polynomial drift to the corresponding stochastic differential equation to incorporate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider the genealogical tree of a stationary continuous state branching process with immigration. For a sub-critical stable branching mechanism, we consider the genealogical tree of the extant population at some fixed time and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hui He

We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

We consider the problem of estimating the elapsed time since the most recent common ancestor of a finite random sample drawn from a population which has evolved through a Bienayme-Galton-Watson branching process. More specifically, we are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-04 Conrad J. Burden , Albert C. Soewongsono

Wright-Fisher diffusions describe the evolution of the type composition of an infinite haploid population with two types (say type $0$ and type $1$) subject to neutral reproductions, and possibly selection and mutations. In the present…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Grégoire Véchambre