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Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

We consider a branching process with Poissonian immigration where individuals have inheritable types. At rate theta, new individuals singly enter the total population and start a new population which evolves like a supercritical,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-02 Mathieu Richard

The ancestral sequence reconstruction problem is the inference, back in time, of the properties of common sequence ancestors from measured properties of contemporary populations. Standard algorithms for this problem assume independent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-02-09 Edwin Rodríguez Horta , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos , Roberto Mulet

We investigate the scaling limit of the seed bank diffusion when reproduction and migration (to and from the seed bank) happen on different time-scales. More precisely, we consider the case when migration is `slow' and reproduction is…

This paper gives a new flavor of what Peter Jagers and his co-authors call `the path to extinction'. In a neutral population with constant size $N$, we assume that each individual at time $0$ carries a distinct type, or allele. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Guillaume Achaz , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider a periodic extension of the classical Kingman non-linear model (Kingman, 1978) for the balance between selection and mutation in a large population. In the original model, the fitness distribution of the population is modeled by…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Camille Coron , Olivier Hénard

We give a short overview on our work on ancestral lineages in spatial population models with local regulation. We explain how an ancestral lineage can be interpreted as a random walk in a dynamic random environment. Defining regeneration…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Matthias Birkner , Nina Gantert

The Wright-Fisher family of diffusion processes is a widely used class of evolutionary models. However, simulation is difficult because there is no known closed-form formula for its transition function. In this article we demonstrate that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Paul A. Jenkins , Dario Spano

We consider a branching model in discrete time where each individual has a trait in some general state space. Both the reproduction law and the trait inherited by the offsprings may depend on the trait of the mother and the environment. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Vincent Bansaye

The goal of this paper is to prove rigorous results for the behavior of genealogies in a one-dimensional long range biased voter model introduced by Hallatschek and Nelson [25]. The first step, which is easily accomplished using results of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Rick Durrett , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

We consider two finite population Markov chain models, the two-island Wright-Fisher model with mutation, and the seed-bank model with mutation. Despite the relatively simple descriptions of the two processes, the the exact form of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Han L. Gan , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

We study the multi-type Cannings population model. Each individual has a type belonging to a given at most countable type space $E$. The population is hence divided into $|E|$ subpopulations. The subpopulation sizes are assumed to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Maximilian Flamm , Martin Möhle

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We study age-structured branching models with reproduction law depending on the remaining lifetime of the parent. The lifespan of an individual is decided at its birth and its remaining lifetime decreases at the unit speed. The models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Ziling Cheng , Zenghu Li

Population genetics theory has laid the foundations for genomics analyses including the recent burst in genome scans for selection and statistical inference of past demographic events in many prokaryote, animal and plant species.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-22 Aurelien Tellier , Christophe Lemaire

The distributed genome hypothesis states that the set of genes in a population of bacteria is distributed over all individuals that belong to the specific taxon. It implies that certain genes can be gained and lost from generation to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-08 F. Baumdicker , W. R. Hess , P. Pfaffelhuber

The nested Kingman coalescent describes the ancestral tree of a population undergoing neutral evolution at the level of individuals and at the level of species, simultaneously. We study the speed at which the number of lineages descends…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Airam Blancas Benítez , Tim Rogers , Jason Schweinsberg , Arno Siri-Jégousse

We study a family of n-dimensional diffusions, taking values in the unit simplex of vectors with nonnegative coordinates that add up to one. These processes satisfy stochastic differential equations which are similar to the ones for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Soumik Pal

We consider the tree-valued Fleming-Viot process, $(\mathcal X_t)_{t\geq 0}$, with mutation and selection as studied in Depperschmidt, Greven, Pfaffelhuber (2012). This process models the stochastic evolution of the genealogies and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-31 Andrej Depperschmidt , Andreas Greven , Peter Pfaffelhuber
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