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Related papers: Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes with heavy distr…

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We consider the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an unknown drift parameter and known Hurst parameter $H$. We propose a new method to test the hypothesis of the sign of the parameter and prove the consistency of the test. Contrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Alexander Kukush , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider the pricing of energy spread options for spot prices following an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a sum of independent multivariate variance gamma processes, which gives rise to mean-reverting, infinite activity…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-25 Tim Leung , Kevin W. Lu

In this paper we consider a branching particle system consisting of particles moving according to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in R^d and undergoing a binary, supercritical branching with a constant rate \lambda>0. This system is known to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Radosław Adamczak , Piotr Miłoś

A well-known stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in physical systems is investigated. The model is given by a super-position of uncorrelated exponential pulses, and the degree of pulse overlap is interpreted as an intermittency…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-01-17 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

Growth-fragmentation processes describe systems of particles in which each particle may grow larger or smaller, and divide into smaller ones as time proceeds. Unlike previous studies, which have focused mainly on the self-similar case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Quan Shi

Real-world complex systems often comprise many distinct types of elements as well as many more types of networked interactions between elements. When the relative abundances of types can be measured well, we often observe heavy-tailed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 P. S. Dodds , J. R. Minot , M. V. Arnold , T. Alshaabi , J. L. Adams , A. J. Reagan , C. M. Danforth

We study the positive recurrence of piecewise Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) diffusion processes, which arise from many-server queueing systems with phase-type service requirements. These diffusion processes exhibit different behavior in two…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 A. B. Dieker , Xuefeng Gao

We discuss diffusion properties of a dynamical system, which is characterised by long-tail distributions and finite correlations. The particle velocity has the stable L\'evy distribution; it is assumed as a jumping process (the kangaroo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 Tomasz Srokowski

Regime switching processes have proved to be indispensable in the modeling of various phenomena, allowing model parameters that traditionally were considered to be constant to fluctuate in a Markovian manner in line with empirical findings.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Filip Lindskog , Abhishek Pal Majumder

A micro-hydrodynamics model based on elastic collisions of light point solvent particles with a heavy solute particle is investigated in the setting where the light particles have velocity distribution corresponding to a background flow.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-21 Radek Erban , Robert A. Van Gorder

This paper investigates the continuous-time limit of score-driven models with long memory. By extending score-driven models to incorporate infinite-lag structures with coefficients exhibiting heavy-tailed decay, we establish their weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Yinhao Wu , Ping He

We establish large deviation principles for the couple of the maximum likelihood estimators of dimensional and drift coefficients in the generalised squared radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We focus our attention to the most tractable…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Let the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $(X_t)_{t\ge0}$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^{H }$, described by $dX_t = -\theta X_t dt + \sigma dB_t^{H }$ be observed at discrete time instants $t_k=kh$, $k=0, 1, 2, \cdots, 2n+2 $. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-13 El Mehdi Haress , Yaozhong Hu

In this paper, we investigate trading strategies based on exponential moving averages (ExpMAs) of an underlying risky asset. We study both logarithmic utility maximization and long-term growth rate maximization problems and find closed-form…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-25 Matthew Lorig , Zhou Zhou , Bin Zou

Modeling the trajectories of animals is challenging due to the complexity of their behaviors, the influence of unpredictable environmental factors, individual variability, and the lack of detailed data on their movements. Additionally,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 J. H. Ramirez-Gonzalez , Ying Sun

In this article, we study the problem of parameter estimation for a discrete Ornstein - Uhlenbeck model driven by Poisson fractional noise. Based on random walk approximation for the noise, we study least squares and maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

We consider the Black--Scholes model of financial market modified to capture the stochastic nature of volatility observed at real financial markets. For volatility driven by the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process, we establish the existence of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-08 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura

In this article, existence of the $k$-th order derivatives of local time $ \widehat{\alpha}^{(k)}(x,t)$ is considered for two d-dimensional fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes $X^{H_1}_t$ and $\widetilde{X}^{H_2}_s$ with Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Jingjun Guo , Yanping Xiao

We investigate the joint distribution and the multivariate survival functions for the maxima of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in consecutive time-intervals. A PDE method, alongside an eigenfunction expansion, is adopted with which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Yupeng Jiang , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters