English

Exact long time behavior of some regime switching stochastic processes

Probability 2019-04-03 v1

Abstract

Regime switching processes have proved to be indispensable in the modeling of various phenomena, allowing model parameters that traditionally were considered to be constant to fluctuate in a Markovian manner in line with empirical findings. We study diffusion processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type where the drift and diffusion coefficients aa and bb are functions of a Markov process with a stationary distribution π\pi on a countable state space. Exact long time behavior is determined for the three regimes corresponding to the expected drift: Eπa()>0,=0,<0E_{\pi}a(\cdot)>0,=0,<0, respectively. Alongside we provide exact time limit results for integrals of form 0tb2(Xs)e2sta(Xr)drds\int_{0}^{t}b^{2}(X_{s})e^{-2\int_{s}^{t}a(X_{r})dr}ds for the three different regimes. Finally, we demonstrate natural applications of the findings in terms of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross diffusion and deterministic SIS epidemic models in Markovian environments. Exact long time behaviors are naturally expressed in terms of solutions to the well-studied fixed-point equation in law X=dAX+BX\stackrel{d}{=}AX+B with X\indep(A,B)X \indep (A,B).

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1904.01474,
  title  = {Exact long time behavior of some regime switching stochastic processes},
  author = {Filip Lindskog and Abhishek Pal Majumder},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1904.01474},
  year   = {2019}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T08:26:58.424Z