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Long time behavior of semi-Markov modulated perpetuity and some related processes

Probability 2025-02-25 v2 Dynamical Systems Mathematical Finance Computation

Abstract

Examples of stochastic processes whose state space representations involve functions of an integral type structure It(a,b):=0tb(Ys)esta(Yr)drds,t0I_{t}^{(a,b)}:=\int_{0}^{t}b(Y_{s})e^{-\int_{s}^{t}a(Y_{r})dr}ds, \quad t\ge 0 are studied under an ergodic semi-Markovian environment described by an SS valued jump type process Y:=(Ys:sR+)Y:=(Y_{s}:s\in\mathbb{R}^{+}) that is ergodic with a limiting distribution πP(S)\pi\in\mathcal{P}(S). Under different assumptions on signs of Eπa():=jSπja(j)E_{\pi}a(\cdot):=\sum_{j\in S}\pi_{j}a(j) and tail properties of the sojourn times of YY we obtain different long time limit results for I(a,b):=(It(a,b):t0).I^{(a,b)}_{}:=(I^{(a,b)}_{t}:t\ge 0). In all cases mixture type of laws emerge which are naturally represented through an affine stochastic recurrence equation (SRE) X=dAX+B,X ⁣ ⁣ ⁣(A,B)X\stackrel{d}{=}AX+B,\,\, X\perp\!\!\!\perp (A, B). Examples include explicit long-time representations of pitchfork bifurcation, and regime-switching diffusions under semi-Markov modulated environments, etc.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2410.15824,
  title  = {Long time behavior of semi-Markov modulated perpetuity and some related processes},
  author = {Abhishek Pal Majumder},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2410.15824},
  year   = {2025}
}

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